So here is what will happen with the Rising Star.
All the AFL media commentators (or opinionists) and award decision makers (who often overlap) are prone to sheep-think.
After the byes, one of the more revered commentators (say a Leigh Matthews) will make a comment like "Yeah that Andrew McGrath has been alright but that was expected because he was a number 1 pick and anyway he just gets cheap possessions in a good team. But Geez that Jack Silvangi he is the one in my mind that is best of the young kids - he's a game breaker for Carlton".
Then the sheep will all jump on this because now they can play the little sycophants to two people Leigh Matthews and Stephen Silvagni. Next thing sheep-think kicks in and they are all saying the same thing "Jack this, Silvagni that". Then come the end of the year (after they have all put their bets on), bingo "award goes to J Silvagni (Carlton).