Any lead in the polls to the ALP would suggest that LNP voters are starting to look elsewhere, though. The LNP were leading the TPP polls not long ago.
The ALP primary vote has not shifted.
Granted TPP polls don’t mean much when the combined primary is likely <68%.
But I want to see the impact of “Liberation Day” in the US on things in Australia before even trying to guess how the election falls, though.
It is a significant global event. It could have substantial global consequences. It will almost certainly reframe how the election in Australia is viewed. There is a big difference in “what do you think you’ll do” and “oh, ■■■■, it’s now reality, what are you actually going to do”.
I have no idea what that is going to look like, though. Could swing things either way.
Going to cut your fuel bill by $20.00 on a $140 refill, going to stop supermarket price gauging , WTF haven’t you been doing this already, this government does not look after me at all