Jackets should play money ball after pick 30!
It would be interesting to work out the average draft pick number where the tipping point occurred when the more known quantities of state league players who are either mature players or at least have exposed form playing against mature bodies, outweighed the potential of TAC players who may or may not perform in the senior competition.
For EFC players who were recruited since 2009 there have been 24 TAC draft selections vs 24 draft selections coming from players who have been playing in State or other major senior competitions.
Of those recruited since 2009 there are remaining on an AFL list currently:
11 out of 24 of the TAC remain
14 out of 24 of the State League recruits remain.
I have not included non drafted players or players drafted directly from an AFL club, this includes players like Goddard, Leuey, Bird, McKernan, Kelly and Dea.
TAC only recruits:
Parish
Morgan
Langford
Laverde
Zerrett
Daniher
Gleeson
Jerrett
Heppell
Melksham
Carlisle
State League Recruits:
Francis
Redman
Brown
Hartley
Walla
Long
Fantasia
Ambrose
Baguley
Hibberd
Jenkins
Colyer
Howlett
Crameri
State League Recruits (SLR) - ratio of players recruited 2009 - 2015 players still playing AFL in 2016
SLR 2015
Francis - SANFL - pick 6
Redman - SANFL - pick 30
Brown - VFL - pick 54
Hartley - VFL - pick 68
Walla - rookie pick 22
2015 - players remaining
SLR 5 out of 5 still playing
TAC recruits: 2 out of 5 still playing. (Parish and Morgan remain, Eades? Nyoun, Wallis delisted).
SLR 2014
Long - NTFL / VFL - F/S rookie
2014 - players remaining
SLR 1/1
TAC 2/2 (Langford, Laverde)
SLR 2013
Fantasia - SANFL - pick 55
Thurlow - NEAFL - rookie pick 9
Ambrose - VAFA - rookie pick 26
2013 - players remaining
SLR 2/3
TAC 1/1 (Zerrett)
SLR 2012
Van Unen - VFL - pick 51
Kommer - WAFL - pick 73
2012 - players remaining
SLR 0/2
TAC 2/4 (Daniher, Gleeson)
SLR 2011
Dell’Ollio - WAFL - rookie pick 29
Baguley - VFL - rookie pick 47
Lee - WAFL - rookie pick 78
2011 - players remaining
SLR 1/3
TAC 1/5 (Jerrett)
SLR 2010
Davis - SANFL - pick 64
Hibberd - VFL - PSD pick 4
Jenkins - CMFL - rookie pick 12
Webster - BDFL - rookie pick 61 (NSW scholarship promotion)
2010 - players remaining
SLR 2/4
TAC 1/4 (Heppell)
SLR 2009
Colyer - WAFL - pick 26
Hardingham - WAFL - PSD pick 7
Silverlock (missed Barlow) - SANFL - rookie pick 14
Howlett - WAFL - rookie pick 30
Crameri - VFL - rookie pick 43
Marigliani - VFL - rookie pick 55
2009 - players remaining
SLR 3/6
TAC 2/3 (Melksham, Carlisle)
Jackets strike rate:
SLR vs TAC 2009 to 2015 drafts
SLR 14/24
TAC 11/24
Somewhere around pick 40 we should start concentrating on players with some exposed senior league experience. Gleeson (pick 53) is the only TAC only player since 2009 still on our list with a pick higher than 31 (Jackson Merrett) and the rest were in the 20’s or less.
Francis, Redman and Colyer were the only State League Recruits taken at less than pick 31, and most were way over that. You can conclude that after pick 30 it would be reasonable to start looking in the direction of State leagues unless you are sure the TAC pool is deep.