I’ve lost track of this topic, but if we were looking at KPD depth in 12 months or 2 years we don’t necessarily need to be looking now. Every year there’s 3 or 4 Hartley’s available. That’s not to disrespect Hartley in any way, but every year there’s a bunch of 18yo project talls drafted, and 2 or 3 years later a bunch of them are delisted. A percentage of those continue to grow into their body and into their game and find themselves roles as KPD at state league level, and with consistent games and confidence find themselves as the sort of role player that can do the job at AFL level.
I’m completely happy to be drafting big KPD at 22 or 23, in the same way you might draft big rucks at 22 as well. With lists the way they are you just don’t seem to be able to spend 5 years developing these big guys who are harder to predict. Spend your 18yo draft picks on guys who are easier to predict (mids) and on talls who are extreme talents. Role players are role players, and you can’t be spending too much currency getting them in.
(If we were doing this right now then Sean Gregory would be in the mix, 5 years after we drafted him and got pretty much 0 return, and 3 years after we delisted him, given he’s a 23yo, 197 KPD who was FB in the VFL team of the year)
(I know this is a complete backflip for me as I’ve long been in the "must draft all your KP players first because they’ll take longer and while they’re developing you can get your mids, but I was probably wrong…)