Politics

90mins in and ABC Anthony Green has already called it for the ALP. Swings up to 20% in some seats.

Wow. How to fark your election and margins 101.

Lol. One Nation misspelled Kalgoorlie on their campaign materials.

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I hope this is the first indicator that One Nation is electoral poison that you get involved with at your own peril.

That anti vax shitt on Insiders completely screwed both parties in one fell swoop. People got to see just how big a numpty the red harpie is.

Wonder if this is giving Bernadi a re-think?

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Hooray!

Maybe Perthlings can start driving better now, too.

Cory is trying to corner his own market of kooks and will sell his message more effectively one would think. It may give Christensen pause for thought but whether that is to double down with the LNP or jump ship before the rot really spreads to the federal level is yet to be known. I predict more splintering as the pressure mounts and an inevitable leadership spill happens again. The LNP is copping it from all corners with a mess of unpopular policies that they are fundamentally tied to. If they turn on any of them they look even more like frauds and they’ll get even more heat from the extreme right (where the policies come from in the first place). They can’t do any hip pocket sweeteners to the electorate because their own economic policies in the name of balancing the budget has Shanghaied them and taken it backwards at a staggering rate of knots.

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Greens sitting on 9 percent of the vote. Is that a significant jump from normal over there?

Not sure what thread this goes in, but Fairfax reporting US wants $500m from Cambodia for unpaid ‘war debts’. Reckon Cambodia would have a fair case to say GAGF!

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no, pretty much status quo.

Reckon they have a pretty good case to say the US should pay them way more than that for the damage they inflicted on them.

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Libs smashed and one nation had a poor showing WA.

Quite a spanking in WA. ALP will be very happy that so much of the libs primary vote broke to them rather than to One Nation or independents - dunno what WA is like normally but the ALP would kill for a 42% primary vote on a federal level. Maybe the backlash agains major parties has been oversold, or perhaps Trump has made everyone think twice about electing bozos just cos they claim to not be politicians?

Huge crash and burn for One Nation. Not even a single seat in the upper or lower house, primary vote of 4.5%. Dunno what this means for them federally - they have senators and a share of the balance of power so we’re stuck with them for another 5 years, otherwise this could almost be a death knell. Hanson’s base is in Qld and she wouldn’t have done herself any favours there by promising to send some of Qlds GST take to WA, but I reckon she’s got enough personal following to stick around, bit like Fred Nile always seems to. Her big problem is that after this the Libs’ll be too scared to preference her for fear of copping a backlash from everyone who hates her, and there’s a lot of them.

The Nats will be reasonably pleased with themselves - still sitting comfy, and the rural bias of the electoral system still going strong. 5.5% of the vote and they’ll get 5 seats, the greens got 8.5% and won’t win any. Held off One Nation quite comfortably.

Big risk for Labor will be overstepping. The’ll have a massive lower house majority, if they have an upper house majority then the temptation will be to go ham and alienate people. Not sure they’ll get an upper house majority with 42% of the vote though? They may be able to work with the greens.

No good news for the Libs at all. Copped a 16% swing against. They flirted with One Nation and ■■■■■■ off not only the Nats but moderates all over the country - even Turnbull and Sinodinos defended the preference deal (and One Nation itself) federally, and now they not only look like losers but unprincipled racist-enabling losers. If One Nation keeps polling strongly in Qld they’ll have a horrible choice - oppose them strongly and lose a chunk of their conservative base as well as alienating votes they desperately need in the federal senate, or come to an an arrangement and ■■■■ off the Nats, their own moderates, and swinging voters.

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Hopefully this sticks a rocket up the moderates and sane conservatives in the Liberal party. Back yourselves, FFS.

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LOL Pawleeene got rinsed.

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Surely you’re not suggesting One Nation voters care about policy?

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How do ■■■■■■■■■ like this get elected?

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I was watching the election coverage on the ABC here last night and one of the panel (a political reporter) made quite a salient comment about Hanson.

She talked about how the more in depth the questions were to Hanson, the more she revealed how very little she actually knows (maybe something the media could start doing in other parts of the country) and this really chipped away at her voter base. It also damaged the Libs (although publicly they aren’t admitting to that).

The media here were all over One Nation for a lot of the campaign and I think this allowed more swinging voters to actually see them for the joke that they are.

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Regarding the PHON vote (or lack of), those who had been thinking about voting her way were slowly convinced otherwise the more she spoke. It’s a good argument for not censoring individuals or parties who are idiots. Let them speak and prove it. She’s f*cked over here after that performance. That and the realisation that a farking Queenslander was going to potentially have a decisive say in the affairs of WA helped shift votes away from her. And to the good people of Qld, would you want a nincompoop from WA having the balance of power over there? Didn’t think so.

Very surprising result. C Barnett stunk but you never know just how much until an election. He stinks pretty bad and the reflected stink has washed over quite a few members who thought they were safe with double digit margins. 20% swings against in some instances and once marginal Labor seats can now be considered safe. Oh, and eat sh*t A Mitchell. That’s what happens when you take the electorate for granted.

In my view, the two main reasons for the vote were 1) fark C Barnett and 2) Transport plan. Point 1 is self explanatory but point 2 will take some doing. Labor spotted this problem six years ago and have been consistent in their approach where as the coalition has only recently come to the party once they caught on that there could be votes in this. That and promising an interconnecting light rail system only to renege and put forward a half arsed bus option. Get farked.

Labor are in for the same treatment if they fail to follow through. B Wyatt (nephew of K Wyatt) has the toughest job in the history of WA being entrusted with delivering on election pledges whilst bringing the finances to heel. I can’t see how he does it without gutting the public service and freezing wages for the foreseeable future. They can’t sell the family heirlooms because they received a fair bit of anti-privatisation support in this election. The public has high hopes. I expect a fair bit of umming and ahhing mixed with limited public eye contact in the near future.

Fark C Barnett and your authoritarian smugness and a tomato red complexion. But a warning to the new boss, indulge in vanity projects, nudge n wink arrangements with corporate benefactors and treat the public as if it wasn’t for us, the job would be fantastic and you will be reduced to 10 or seats just like your predecessor.

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To be fair, he got 77 votes.

For real?