Russia invades Ukraine - 5 - from 2 October 2023

Russian losses per 16/05/24 reported by the Ukrainian general staff

+1520 men
+19 tanks
+30 APVs
+27 artillery systems
+13 UAVs
+1 cruise missile

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Update

:saluting_face: It’s official. After a lot of procrastination, mistakes, and a frantically rushed and hurried session with some copy pasta on the very final day to get my homework in on time, my submission to the Senate Inquiry into Ukraine Aid was submitted. Today, confirmation that it was accepted.

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I am especially proud that the Senate has been advised to follow this thread on Bomberblitz, not the ABC.

I must say that if my submission helps the other submissions to convince the Inquiry to formulate positive recommendations to Government that go on to be enacted, this will be my most significant policy/legal achievement in the public sphere since 1998 when I helped save a local Coolangatta/Tweed remnant wild habitat here on the QLD/NSW border, Mt. Murraba, from the clutches of development by making a submission to council to rezone the whole hill to protected in the Tweed 2000 LEP. They voted in favour and rezoned the hill and the whole top of razorback.
:evergreen_tree: :evergreen_tree: :evergreen_tree: :evergreen_tree:

Robert Redford GIFs | Tenor

Its small but its somethin’

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In Ukraine, Blinken signals the possibility of US materiel that can be deployed on Russian territory.
So no caveats on the use of US materiel ?

  • ‘ …We have not encouraged or enabled strikes outside Ukraine, but ultimately Ukraine has to make decisions for itself about how it is going to conduct the war…’
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I love that your submission is about 20x larger file size than all the others :joy:

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That is another big day of carnage, and huge waste of life.

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imagine if ArthurD was asked to co-author it!

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Bump

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Lol, yes and nothing to do with content length, just padding because I included a few images in the text file. I was going to go the whole hog with photos but decided not to. I also spent too much time writing a big rant on the timeliness of our aid to Ukraine but deleted it all because it wasn’t at all constructive and thought making recommendations more positive. Unfortunately, by then I had run out of time and so had to quickly filch Mick Ryan’s recommendations. I am also a bit disappointed they deleted the links to Bomberblitz I included at the end of the document but oh well, my point was made. :+1: I am looking forward to seeing the report this enquiry makes on the 4th of August.

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Thought provoking post

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It’s pretty obvious if you take the emotion out of it. Russia is on a war time footing, the west is half arsing it.

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Following the Kremlin shakeup and the replacement of Shoigu with Belousov, a figure from the so-called “economic” or “technocratic” circles, there has been speculation about the nature of these changes and Shoigu’s future role. Today, Shoigu appeared alongside Putin during his visit to China, though this isn’t the main focus of our discussion. The composition of this delegation might give us a lot of critical details and its goals.


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In addition to Putin, Shoigu, Lavrov, Peskov, and the newly appointed Belousov, the expanded Russian delegation includes: Minister of Natural Resources and Environment, Head of the Central Bank, Minister of Economic Development, Minister of Finance, Director of the Federal Financial Monitoring Service, CEO of Rosatom, Director of the Federal Service for Military-Technical Cooperation, First Deputy Prime Minister, Deputy Head of the Presidential Administration Furthermore, key representatives of businesses and oligarchs are part of the expanded delegation. - Oleg Deripaska, oligarch and founder of RUSAL - Igor Sechin, oligarch, CEO of Rosneft - Herman Gref, Chairman of Sberbank’s Executive Board - Andrey Kostin, President-Chairman of VTB Bank - Kirill Dmitriev, CEO of the Russian Direct Investment Fund - Leonid Mikhelson, Chairman of NOVATEK - Igor Shuvalov, Chairman of VEB.RF - Alexander Shokhin, President of the Russian Union of Industrialists and Entrepreneurs (RSPP)


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Such a list of decision-makers from the financial and economic sectors suggests that this delegation is not ordinary but rather an ambitious and serious effort to deepen economic and financial cooperation with China. Given the presence of the newly appointed Minister of Defense and the Director of the Federal Service for Military-Technical Cooperation, we should also anticipate discussions on military-industrial cooperation. This should not be dismissed as a routine event. The last time Shoigu visited North Korea, Russia received millions of artillery shells and ballistic missiles. However, unlike that delegation, this one is heavily represented by the financial and economic sectors, suggesting Russia’s serious intent to address economic and financial problems caused by war.


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Given China’s pragmatism and Russia’s weakened position, successful negotiations may require significant concessions or unfavorable long-term agreements for Russia. That being said, the successful outcome of these negotiations will create problems for Ukraine regardless, as Russia is clearly aiming to outproduce the West and Ukraine. I’ll leave detailed economic discussions to specialists in their respective fields, but it’s evident that this could have significant global implications and will likely have a tangible impact on the ongoing war for years to come.

4:10 PM · May 16, 2024

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China is Russia’s largest export market. Principal exports are oil, lignite and gas.
Russia ranks at around China’s tenth largest import market, with imports declining in recent years.
State trading or quasi State trading is a feature of both countries, simplifies procedures.
In the event that China wants to teach some western countries a lesson, it can source some commodities from Russia.
In addition, in the event of western sanctions against China, Russia can be an alternative source for some resources and basic industrial products, also perhaps some products for military use.
Bilateral Port and inland infrastructure have been improved
IDK whether Russia is price competitive with other suppliers to China of the same goods. Quality would be an issue .
@Benny40 would have knowledge in regard to some resource commodities.

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The latest Red Line podcast episode goes into this in detail. Highly recommend.

TLDR - China is screwing over Russia in every way possible.

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Reportedly the yuan is increasingly replacing the US dollar in trade.
( With the yuan being also used in trade with some developing countries).