I think I remember reading that a lot of the NK ammo delivered didn’t actually fit Russian arty barrels, so they had to manually rifle shells
Which led to pretty predictable results
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Russian losses per 04/07/24 reported by the Ukrainian general staff
+1200 men
+9 tanks
+17 APVs
+65(!) artillery pieces
+2 AD systems
+26 UAVs
+6 cruise missiles
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We (more so the publishers) need to be careful with the term ‘working’.
Russia is making small gains (usually measured in the 100s of sq.m) in areas where Ukraine is usually retreating for tactical purposes.
The costs of those gains are huge and they are culminating quickly.
Russia has no effective air defense against HIMARS let alone ATACMS or Storm Shadow / Taurus so there is no long term ability to expoit those gains other than for more small, costly thrusts into defensible territory.
There are no significant tactical gains, there is nothing that they’ve done that enables them to hold territory or build any infrastructure of significance.
Additionally Crimea and a lot of the new land that they control which used to be fed from Dnipro irrigation no longer has access to that water.
Ukraine can defend and attrit for as long as they want if they are losing 100s of square kilometers. We should be celebrating these small losses as pyhrric for the Russians and actually contributing to the long term goals of Ukraine
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Don’t disagree with your general point, but for Ukraine to achieve it’s goals it needs to eventually re-take that land. That’s proven harder than we all might like.
Also worth noting that whilst Russia will likely continue to face shortages of armour, it does not appear to be likely that it runs out of meat to throw into the grinder any time soon.
The answer being of course, more, more, more weapons/ammo to Ukraine please.
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https://theconversationuk.cmail20.com/t/r-e-tdjyluiy-nirulyukid-r/
Ukraine’s troops remain frustrated at delays in getting fresh supplies of arms and ammunition, according to reports from the frontline. It’s been several months since the US and the EU signed off on their massive aid packages to Kyiv, yet the bulk of the weapons have yet to find their way to the Ukrainian fighting units.
According to the Institute for the Study of War, these delays are hampering Ukraine’s ability to counter what it calls Russia’s “creeping advances”. Russia’s ability to apply pressure at numerous points along the frontlines effectively means that it is hard for Ukraine to build up the strength to launch its own offensive operations. This is where the lack of fresh supplies of western weapons systems is being felt most.
Meanwhile, shortages of trained and motivated personnel also remains a problem for Kyiv. Oleksandr Syrsky, Ukraine’s commander-in-chief, told the country’s Interfax news agency on July 2 that the ability to recruit and train sufficient personnel to form well-staffed and equipped new brigades remains a problem.
But still Kyiv remains determined not to compromise on its maximalist war aims on its determination to claw back all its original territory. Andriy Yermak, Volodymyr Zelensky’s chief of staff, said this week that while Kyiv welcomed advice on how to reach a “just peace”, Ukraine is “not ready to go to the compromise for the very important things and values … independence, freedom, democracy, territorial integrity, sovereignty”.
His remarks came a day after Zelensky rejected a ceasefire proposal presented by the Hungarian prime minister, Viktor Orbán, who was visiting Kyiv for the first time since the beginning of the war. Orbán, who has just taken over the rotating presidency of the European Council, is known to be close to Vladimir Putin, and was largely responsible for delaying the sign-off of the EU’s €50 billion (£42 billion) aid package for several months earlier this year.
Whatever Orbán’s allegiances may or may not be, Kyiv recently signed a bilateral security deal with the EU, the 20th such agreement signed with countries across Europe and the US. While the agreement calls for the EU and its members to contribute to “security commitments” that will “help Ukraine to defend itself”, Stefan Wolff points out that they stop short of providing actual security guarantees or committing troops to Ukraine’s defence.
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After following this thread for the last couple of years and reading your posts and those of other knowledgeable Blitzers, l am more inclined to agree with your collective assessment of the situation on the ground, than google.
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Jagga Jagga
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He tore up the deal on Sevastopol as a Russian military port. Got greedy.
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Please, remain calm and stay in bed while we take defensive measures (shoot up the city again).
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Russian losses per 05/07/24 reported by the Ukrainian general staff
+1110 men
+10 tanks
+11 APVs
+54 artillery systems
+57 UAVs
Just the standard 50 or so arty pieces yesterday.
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My understanding is that they started including morters in the artillery numbers, so there could be a big mix of high value SP howitzers, towed guns and regular morters. Numbers would be inflated as a result.
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