Russia invades Ukraine - 6 - from 7 August 2024

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He has been a true hero and the best leader in the world over these years

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War is brutal at the best of times, and this level of depravity is just about as far from the best of times as it is possible to get.

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There seems to be conflicting information on this topic.
ON the one hand, some in UA say that they have enough recruits, what they need is equipment; on the other:

Current mobilization rates don’t even cover losses, sources in Ukraine’s General Staff allegedly told the BBC. The report warns it’s not just the older generation who must fight but questions how long Ukraine can sustain the war with existing resources.
https://t.me/noel_reports/21494

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" Tis but a scratch"

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Overall SITREP:

Long range missiles strikes, including ATACMS and Storm Shadow strikes were authorized into Russian territory as of November 17th 2024.

Russian forces continued their attacks in Kursk oblast, attacking in force from the 7th November onwards, however this time Ukrainian forces appeared ready for them, resulting in heavy mechanized losses from the Russian VDV and Marines with only small areas recaptured by the Russian forces.

The enemy advanced rapidly from Zolota Nyva to the east of Velyka Novosilka, as well as continuing last month’s advance northwards towards after the capture of the settlements northwest of Vuhledar.

Russian troops appear stalled in the Pokrovsk direction, but have continued to advance slowly west of Selydove, pushing up the railway line to Zhovte. After the fall of Hirnyk last month, Russian forces have continued their westward advances, reaching Berestky north of Kurakhove.

In the Toretsk direction, the small Ukrainian counterattack last month has been reversed, with Russian forces capturing most of the Zabalka district, and advancing further into the city.

On the Kharkiv and Luhansk front, Russian forces crossed the Oskil north of Kupiansk near Divorichna in a small number which were repelled by early December, and have continued their assaults near Kruhlyakivka. Terny remains contested.

Kursk axis

  • Around November 7th, Russian forces launched a fierce attack near Zelenyi Shylakh and Darino, resulting in Darino being lost to Russian forces, but substantial mechanized losses to the Russian forces in the area.
  • In the southeast, Ukrainian forces withdrew over the Psel river, allowing Russian forces to retake Plekhovo.
  • Ukrainian forces control about 550 square km in Kursk oblast as of the end of November.

Kharkiv axis

  • On 19th November, Ukrainian forces advanced southeast of Hlyboke, retaking some woodland positions.

Kupyansk axis

  • Russian forces advanced towards the center of Kupiansk in a surprise move on the 19th November 2024, but were quickly repelled. The Russian held area near Kolisnykivka and Kruhlyakivka on the Oskil was widened slightly, but no significant changes were reported.
  • Russian recon forces did cross the Oskil further north however, north and south of Dvorichna, however the positions were returned by early December.

Lyman axis

  • Russian forces raised their flag in Kopanky south of Pershotravneve on 22nd November, as well as advanced slightly west of Stelmakhivka. Terny remains contested, with Russian forces continuing their attempts to reach Torske and Zarichne.

Siversk axis

  • On 2nd November, Russian forces launched a large mechanized attacked towards Ivano-Darivka and Vyimka, which captured some positions but was mostly repelled. Continued Russian efforts west of Verkhnokamyanske are meeting with failure.

Bakhmut axis

  • Geolocations from 16th November show Russian forces reaching the central part of Chasiv Yar as holes in the Ukrainian defense become apparent. It appears Ukraine has withdrawn from the eastern side of the canal, and Russian forces continue to pressure the west side with small groups

Toretsk axis

  • Heavy fighting continues in Toretsk. Russian forces went on the offensive again after the limited Ukrainian counterattack last month, resulting in most of the Zabalka district to the south falling to Russian control. Ukrainian forces were unable to contain the Russian forces in the center, and more positions were lost, resulting in Ukraine now controlling less than 50% of the town.

Pokrovsk axis

  • Russian forces assaults directly towards Pokrovsk remain stalled, and very limited Ukrainian counterattacks near Mykolaivka took place, returning some positions.
  • Meanwhile, west of Selydove the Russian advances continue with Ukrainian forces being unable to muster a defense. By 7th November, Russian forces had raised their flag in Novooleksiivka, and then, learning from the previous times they used the railways to advance, Russian forces advanced up the railway line northwest of Selydove to Hryhorivka (flag raise on 17th November), Petrivka (26th November) and then into Zhovte by 29th November.
  • West of Hirnyk, Russian forces continued their advance again as Ukrainian forces withdrew from the pocket, raising their flag in Vovchenka by 5th November, in Novosolydivka on 11th November, Illinka by 13th November and west Berestky by 27th November.

Novopavlivka axis

  • Kurakhove was entered from the east by Russian forces on the 15th November, with the road bridge being blown a few days earlier to prevent further advancement. However, Kurakhove was again entered by Russian forces from the Dalnje direction to the south on 25th November before being repelled. With the settlements fallen on the north side of the reservoir, Kurakhove is not in a good position.
  • With the large Russian advances seen in October, the Ukrainian forces south of Dalnje and north of Bohoyavlenka were left in a poor situation. Despite this, the fighting retreat has slowed the Russian forces down drastically in the area, resulting in Illinka only falling towards the end of November, and areas such as Trudove just to the north of Bohoyavlenka still contested.
  • Russian forces also advanced northwards from Novoukrainka, raising the flag in Maksymivka by 2nd November.

Velyka Novosilka axis

  • On 23rd November the Ukrainian defence failed as Russian mechanized forces advanced 9 kilometers from Zolota Nyva to to the eastern entrance to Velyka Novosilka, capturing large swathes of land. Russian forces also advanced northwards into Rozdol’ne by 29th November, and then were said to have crossed the road and attacked Novyi Komar too, putting Velyka Novosilka in dire straits with the only supply coming from the west.
  • To the west of Velyka Novosilka, Russian forces advanced into Rivnopil and raised their flag by 19th November, and also into Novodarivka.

Kherson axis

  • No significant changes in this area.

Frontline Situation Report – November 2024 | MilitaryLand.net

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Not a lot of good news there :frowning:

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Should go down well with his Chinese mates.

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Extract From the Economist 1 Dec 2024:

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A declining currency and ballooning budget deficit has led to talk of a hard landing in 2025. After two years of strong growth, which confounded analysts’ predictions, Russia’s pace of expansion will slow.
A lower level against the dollar raises the rouble value of oil exports, helping plug the government’s deficit. Yet it also pushes up the price of imports (now from China) —something that matters for both consumers and the war effort.

The Russian government’s latest budget, unveiled in September, will raise defence and security spending by 25% next year, to 8% of Russia’s GDP, a post-cold-war high. Annual inflation is running at more than 8%.

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4 oblasts completely occupied in one month

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Frontline update - 28 minutes ago.

Russia-Ukraine war: Frontline update as of December 10

Ukraine, Wed, December 11, 2024 - 00:30

As of the evening of December 10, 199 combat engagements occurred in the frontline. Russian forces are attacking most actively in the Pokrovsk and Kurakhove directions, reports the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

Enemy shelling

Russian forces launched two missiles and 17 airstrikes on Ukrainian territory, employing three guided missiles and 31 precision-guided bombs.

Additionally, Russian forces deployed 441 kamikaze drones and carried out approximately 3,000 attacks targeting Ukrainian positions and civilian settlements.

Frontline situation

In the Kharkiv direction, Ukrainian forces repelled seven enemy attacks near Vovchansk, Lyptsi, and Starytsia. All assaults were successfully stopped.

In the Kupiansk direction, Russian troops launched 11 assaults on Ukrainian positions in the areas of Petropavlivka, Kolisnykivka, Zahryzove, Hlushkivka, and Lozova. Ukrainian defenders repelled eight of these attacks, while three clashes remain ongoing.

In the Lyman direction, since the start of the day, Russian forces attacked Ukrainian positions 25 times near Hrekivka, Kopanky, Nadiia, Zelenyi Hai, Makiivka, Yampilivka, Zarichne, Terny, and Torske, as well as in the directions of Druzheliubivka and Cherneshchyna. Six battles are still underway.

In the Siversk direction, no offensive actions were recorded, though Russian forces carried out an airstrike on Siversk.

In the Kramatorsk direction, two combats were reported near Bila Hora and Chasiv Yar. Ukrainian defenders successfully repelled both.

In the Toretsk direction, Russian forces launched nine assaults on Ukrainian defensive positions, concentrating their efforts near Toretsk, Shcherbynivka, and Dyliivka. Two clashes are ongoing.

In the Pokrovsk direction, Russian forces attempted to breach Ukrainian defenses 52 times near Myroliubivka, Promin, Myrnohrad, Novotroitske, Pushkine, Lysivka, Dachenske, Novyi Trud, Zelene, Pishchane, Pokrovsk, and Shevchenko.

The enemy is suffering significant losses. In this direction alone, preliminary reports indicate 246 Russian personnel have been neutralized today, 106 of whom are irrecoverable. Additionally, eight enemy vehicles have been destroyed.

In the Kurakhove direction, Russian forces launched 44 attacks on Ukrainian positions near Sontsivka, Stari Terny, Zoria, Kurakhove, Dachne, and Dalne. Six battles are ongoing. The enemy employed aviation extensively, striking Ulakly, Oleksiivka, and Kostiantynopil with guided aerial bombs.

In the Vremivka direction, Russian troops conducted 16 assaults near Veselyi Hai, Kostiantynopolske, Rozlyv, Trudove, Novodarivka, Sukhi Yaly, Blahodatne, and Makarivka. Three battles remain active.

In the Orikhiv direction , the enemy launched seven assaults near Novoandriivka and Pyatikhatky.

In the Pryniprovskyi direction, Ukrainian forces repelled three Russian attacks.

Enemy’s losses

According to the General Staff, Russia has lost more than 755,000 personnel since the beginning of its full-scale invasion.

In the past 24 hours alone, Ukrainian forces eliminated 1,350 Russian troops. Additionally, five tanks, seven armored vehicles, three artillery systems, and other enemy equipment were destroyed.

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Russia hit a clearly marked International Atomic Energy Agency vehicle with a drone.

https://x.com/stratcomcentre/status/1866569202968170556?s=46

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