Donât want to tempt fate but we can still make finals even with a loss to Freo. Definitely have destiny in our own hands though now which is nice if not a little scary
Letâs assume Adelaide and Freo lose, and kick 70 points.
Therefore, if Essington fall over the line by 1 point, WCE need to win 103-70 to tip us out.
If we win instead win by 3.12, WCE need to win 130-70.
If we treat Freo like Port or WCE and win 130-70, then WCE need to win 158-70.
In summary for that spread of scores we have a 28-32 point buffer West Coast need to overcome. Their game starts immediately after ours finishes, so they will know their target.
Unfortunately, despite their loss, Adelaide can not be knocked out of the top two so have no particular reason to care.
If we both draw or both lose, we could actually still actually make it if Hawthorn beats Footscray and Saints donât win both of their games (North and Richmond). Thatâs actually plausible. Letâs not do that, though.
After losing to the Swans, youâd think they wouldnât want to start their finals campaign on the back of 2 losses. Additionally, their last round loss to the Eagles last year cost them dearly. They wonât want to get a smashing regardless.
Thereâs precedent for this sort of thing. Freo were 3rd and lost by 12 goals to St Kilda in a last round dead rubber.
If we win by 4-5 goals and West Coast need a 10 goal victory. Watch them come with a fast start kicking the first 3 as we proceed to â â â â ourselves.
Be happy to play Sydney in Sydney, we all but beat them recently, really but for some once in a century set of circumstances, not to mention some really horrible umpiring at the clutch end, ans I dont think we will make the same shutdown mistakes again in a 100 years
And We rag dolled port in round 12, so no fear there either.
Should we end up playing Melbourne in Melbourne, I can only imagine the rock up and support from the Essendon supporters could turn it into a home game buzz no mater what