This is the first time this season that I’ve thought 13 wins might be required.
Discounting WCE after yet another loss in Melbourne, as their finishing 2 rounds is just too difficult.
Looking at the games to come for the WB and Melbourne, I think both sides are looking at a likely 13 - 9 season.
Having watched some games on the weekend, I can’t see how the Bulldogs lose to the Hawks last Rd if they are playing for Finals.
I would have them as slight favourites to beat Port the week before, but maybe losing to GWS.
As for Melbourne, their toughest game is this week, but I expect they will end St.Kilda’s season at the MCG, and be good enough to get over Bris and Coll last 2 rounds to make Finals.
If the Saints beat the Dees, everything changes.
We may get away with a narrow loss to Adelaide, and WCE rejoin the conversation.
Has anyone considered the possibility of Geelong imploding without Selwood, and not winning another game to miss Finals on 12 and a half wins ?
They have Rich and GWS at Simonds Stadium, who are both playing for the home Qualifying Final in Week 1.
Their other game is Collingwood at the MCG, who they have trouble with !
It’s not unreasonable that 5 sides end up on 13 - 9 separated by %.
It’s the most likely result for Port, Sydney and the WB.
Melb are a good chance to reach 13, whilst we would be an outside chance.
If Melb didn’t get to 13, the Saints could.
WCE would have to play out of their skins to get there, and simply aren’t good enough.
An incredible season about to get more incredibler this week !