Speculation on changes vs Fremantle


#465

You looked just like Clint Eastwood when you said that last bit.


#466

Would you prefer Paxton "season over man, season over "


#467

That’s good too, but I’m content with my Ferris reference.


#468

Or they had no choice but to bomb it because the forwards didn’t get to where they were supposed to be. We probably had the worst forward line of the round, and we only had one forward who performed, Fantasia.


#469

Hah. I just looked at the AFL site “Massive upset brewing at Marvel”
We are $1.40 and Freo $2.90 or something like that and both Brown and Duck have picked Freo.
Duck says . If Freo try to play us at our own game, they will lose, so Freo will go defensive. and will win.

This is an absolute red flag for us. If our coaches and players think Freo will let us play the way we want to play, wtf I just cannot get my head around it if they think that.

Its going to be low scoring, its going to be dour. We probably going to be turned over big time in our back half as we go for the risky centring kicks. Deja vue.


#470

We are gonna roll fremantle. Joe, jake, Walla all multiple goal kickers.

Cant wait.


#471

Exactly right. Chaos ball into where walla is standing is better than sitting it on his head


#472

Nah we are going to spank them.


#473

I’m not sold on the “Freo can play super defensive and win” argument.

It cost them vs West Coast, and it cost them vs Adelaide. Honestly, they want to play that style, all the better for us. Means a single 3-4 goal burst could actually win us the game rather than just look nice when it happens.


#474

So much this


#475

Relax.
He stitched up Phil Davis, thus has exhausted his 1 good game for the year.

Sooo, c’mon down Travis Colyer.
25 disp made up of 18kicks at 100% eff.
2 goals
Zero fumbles


#476

wow, i’m not a betting man, but even i’m almost willing to put a grand on freo to win.


#477

How on earth are we favourites after losing the last 3 weeks.
Even if we were playing carlton this week I would have us and them @ $1.90


#478

Not one model that Squiggle aggregates predicts a Freo win. Its the farkin KOD.


#479

The answer is that the models and punters aren’t as scarred as Dons fans.

Most models factor margins as the basis of their Elo ratings; I.e. if we’d snuck over the line against the Pies and Swans we’d all be a lot happier but the models wouldn’t rate us much differently.

On our home deck, we should get it done vs a mediocre (but no longer terrible) Freo outfit.


#480

OBrien’s footskills ended up reasonably neat. Just sooooo slow, nowhere to hide him.


#481

Travis Colyer to be BOG with 30 possessions and 4 goals.


#482

And adequately replaced by Langford!!!


#483

And not a fumble in sight.


#484

Can’t believe they think we are favourites, and by that much.