Well, if you’re not going to try and explain it, and I can’t explain it, I guess we’re done.
I’ll leave this here though, since it is actual fact.
I’m very much a member of the “we play ■■■■ against ■■■■ teams” brigade, but given the arguments happening in every single thread I thought I might go and look at the numbers to prove that it’s true once and for all. Turns out it’s not really true, depending on the standards you expect us to play to.
For the sake of this post, ■■■■ teams are teams in the bottom 6.
Since 2011, we’ve played 29 games against bottom 6 teams.
22 wins. Average margin 44 points, 7 under 3 goals.
6 losses. Average margin 21 points, 4 of them under 3 goals.
1 draw, to fark carlton. fark carlton.
2012 was the best, 7 games for 6 wins, 1 loss. Wins were by 67, 25, 50, 84, 17, 66. To me, that’s two disappointing games out of 7.
2014 was by far the worst, 7 games for 4 wins, 2 losses and a draw. The wins being by 81, 15, 8, 8. To me, that’s 6 disappointing games out of 7.
So, we win about 75% of our games against bottom 6 teams in a period where we have won 55% of our games overall. A third of those wins have been by margins that would suggest we didn’t play as well as we should/could have.