I have got AI running some analysis over the 15 season’s worth of BBFFL#2 data we have collated. I will post some outputs later today.
Key call out is that @TrevorBix will be playing his second final this weekend - his first since 2016. It will be his 289th BBFFL#2 match coached.
I’m pretty gutted. I lost by 4 points on the weekend to ‘Yambags’ costing myself my chance at the finals.
I’ve never made the finals but this was my most successful season. I’ve got faith in the young kids coming through and reckon I’ll get there next year.
From your 8 seasons your win loss record is 43 wins and 111 loses. Highest ladder position was 10th in 2023.
I can’t like that post.
Can you at least mention I’ve completely retooled my whole list and will dominate for years to come?
Can’t see Great Artesian Basin in that list….
Stoops is about to go 6-5 against me.
Yep, our creator didn’t even get to the start line - well he did do one draft.
This is outstanding stuff RB!
Love it except for that absolutely atrocious statistic about me and finals. I guess it makes me the ultimate Essendon supporter though
I also know that drive by was personal seeing as you have me.
Absolutely. It’s a final 15 years in the making!
Thanks to my new best friend Claude, round previews are back for finals.
The regular season is done and the top eight is locked in. Based on final 2026 ladder positions, here’s how Week 1 of the finals shapes up: two Qualifying Finals between the top four, and two Elimination Finals between 5th–8th, with the losers of the latter bowing out for the season.
@Crazy_Bomber enters as the outright favourite, and the numbers back it up. An 18-2 season has them running the highest average score of any finalist (1,488) and they arrive on a five-game winning streak (WWWWW) with a season-high of 1,695 still fresh in memory. Since climbing into title contention in 2022, Crazy Bomber have built a genuine finals pedigree — 11-1 across four straight finals campaigns and a Grand Final appearance in 2025.
@The_Melkman is the competition’s most enduring franchise — in the league since day one (2012) with 314 games under the belt, more than any other finalist. Form has wobbled late (WWLWL) but a top-four finish and a 14-6 record show there’s plenty of quality here, even if the highs (10-17 in finals) have been harder to come by historically.
Head-to-head: Crazy Bomber holds a commanding 8-2 edge overall, including 2-0 in finals meetings. The Melkman will need to break a pattern that has strongly favoured their opponent.
Most recent meeting: Crazy Bomber 1,477 def. The Melkman 1,351 — Round 7, 2026.
Finals history: Crazy Bomber leads 2-0 in finals meetings, both in Qualifying Finals the past two seasons. Most recent: Crazy Bomber 1,634 def. The Melkman 1,478 — QF, 2025.
2026 Weekly Scores: Crazy Bomber vs The Melkman
Crazy Bomber’s line sits above The Melkman’s in most weeks (14 of 20) — the gap is real, not just a hot patch, though The Melkman has had the better of a few individual rounds along the way.
The line: Crazy Bomber’s current form and head-to-head dominance make them a heavy favourite, but The Melkman’s finals experience means they won’t go quietly.
This is the pick of the week. Both sides finished 2026 in outstanding touch — Fogdog at 18-2, Stoops right behind at 17-3 — and the season series between them is dead even at 5-5.
@Fogdog have been the competition’s most dominant regular-season side outside of Crazy Bomber, riding a four-game winning streak into finals (WWWWL) with a season-high of 1,668.
@Stoops are the league’s most battle-hardened contender — 308 games since 2012, a 12-9 finals record, and current form that’s arguably the best of anyone in the eight (WLWWW, with a 1,650 season-high). Critically, Stoops hold the finals edge over Fogdog historically, having won their only previous finals meeting. The concern for Stoops is not the early weeks of the finals, that happens later given an 0-4 record in Grand Finals across their history.
Most recent meeting: Fogdog 1,417 def. Stoops 1,416 — Round 8, 2026. A one-point classic.
Finals history: Stoops lead 1-0 in finals meetings. Most recent — and only — clash: Stoops 1,456 def. Fogdog 1,242 — QF, 2025.
2026 Weekly Scores: Fogdog vs Stoops
The chart tells the story of the season series — the two lines cross constantly, with Stoops just shading the weekly scoring battle (12 of 20 rounds) despite the ladder finishing only one game apart and the season series locked at 5-5.
The line: Even on paper, even in the head-to-head, and both red-hot. This one could easily go the distance.
A fascinating clash between two of our foundation coaches who have had two very different trajectories 2026. @TrevorBix snuck into the five after a 14-6 season, but the finals résumé is thin — just one prior finals appearance (2016), a loss, and no Grand Final experience in franchise history despite 288 games since 2012. Form has been streaky (WWLLW).
redbull back into the eight after a modest 10-10 season, but arrive as the most credentialed finals operator in this matchup — 6-3 in finals since 2017, with two Grand Final appearances (2017-18) and the equal-highest single-game score of any team in the competition (1,769). Current form is shaky though (LWWLL), and they’ll need to find another gear fast.
Head-to-head: redbull holds a clear 11-5 overall advantage, and with no finals history between these two, that regular-season dominance is the best guide available.
Most recent meeting: TrevorBix 1,328 def. redbull 1,163 — Round 15, 2026.
Finals history: These two have never met in a final.
2026 Weekly Scores: TrevorBix vs redbull
TrevorBix has had the better of it in more weeks than not (11 of 20), particularly through the middle rounds where redbull hit its low point (a 1,121 in Round 16). redbull’s season-best weeks have mostly come early.
The line: redbull’s finals pedigree and head-to-head record make them slight favourites despite the lower finish, but a team playing as inconsistently as they have of late is always vulnerable to an upset from a hungrier lower seed — and TrevorBix already has the wood on them from their most recent meeting.
The form guide says this should be one-sided, and it points the same way twice. @AVanderScreamer are the form team of the entire finals field — a perfect WWWWW to close the season, the best run of any qualifier. It’s a young franchise (since 2022) making just its second finals appearance, but the momentum is undeniable.
@Ivan enter in form too — four straight wins after an opening-round loss (LWWWW) — and carry more finals scar tissue: a 4-2 finals record across a 2019-2021 stretch, including a Grand Final win in that span, though nothing recent. The concern for Ivan is scoring output: a league-low average among the finalists (1,218) compared to AVanderScreamer’s 1,300.
Head-to-head: Close but AVanderScreamer’s way, 3-2, with no finals meetings on record to lean on.
Most recent meeting: Ivan 1,264 def. AVanderScreamer 1,227 — Round 4, 2026.
Finals history: These two have never met in a final.
2026 Weekly Scores: AVanderScreamer vs Ivan
AVanderScreamer has sat above Ivan on the scoreboard in most weeks throughout the season (13 of 20), giving them the scoring edge this chart backs up — though Ivan’s late-season scores (including a Round 20 score above AVanderScreamer’s) show they’re not to be dismissed.
The line: Two teams in red-hot form make this the hardest elimination final to split, but AVanderScreamer’s scoring edge and head-to-head record give them a narrow advantage — even though Ivan holds the win from their only meeting this season.
| Final | Match-up | 2026 Record | Last 5 | H2H (Overall) | Finals H2H | Most Recent Meeting |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qualifying | (1) Crazy Bomber vs (4) The Melkman | 18-2 vs 14-6 | WWWWW vs WWLWL | 8-2 | 2-0 | CB 1,477 def. TM 1,351 (Rd 7, 2026) |
| Qualifying | (2) Fogdog vs (3) Stoops | 18-2 vs 17-3 | WWWWL vs WLWWW | 5-5 | 0-1 | Fogdog 1,417 def. Stoops 1,416 (Rd 8, 2026) |
| Elimination | (5) TrevorBix vs (8) redbull | 14-6 vs 10-10 | WWLLW vs LWWLL | 5-11 | — | TrevorBix 1,328 def. redbull 1,163 (Rd 15, 2026) |
| Elimination | (6) AVanderScreamer vs (7) Ivan | 12-8 vs 12-8 | WWWWW vs LWWWW | 2-3 | — | Ivan 1,264 def. AVS 1,227 (Rd 4, 2026) |
With the immediate like, @smooth gets his data posted. Only issue i have is that the ladder finish doesn’t clearly show the coaching break taken between 2018 and 2020.
Edit think the key stats need to include the premiership years.
Thanks incredible.
Should we have had a wild card round?
Is that because you finished 9th? 
I was actually pondering that this morning and I’m not sure it works given it’s an entire round of AFL that we would need.
Those teams in 16/17 were far stronger than my 2014 flag winning team and didn’t get the job done. 4 losses across 2 years and 2 of them in finals. The first team I had from the initial draft to when I left was so good. Picked up my 2nd team at rock bottom and is improving at least.
You’d have to go one fewer game in the regular season to facilitate it.
