Perkins’ performance is drastically underrated. The entire draft has been slow to come on and he’s got the second most games of his entire draft cohort.
I tried to account for ‘pick quality’, as not all teams have had the same amount of high picks. For instance, Essendon has taken the 3rd most top 30 picks of any team across 2000 to 2018.
I looked at drafting results in the following three ranges
Top 10 picks
Picks 11 to 30
Picks 31 to 60
I didn’t do later picks as it got difficult with re-listings and rookie promotions.
From 2000 to 2018, 50% of players played at least 69 games. 25% play at least 145 games.
Here is our drafting performance by pick range. I have compared Essendon to every other team (excl. GWS and GC).
Likelihood of drafting a top 50% player (at least 69 games)
Picks 1 to 10
Essendon - 75%
Every other team - 80%
Picks 11 to 30
Essendon - 63%
Every other team - 56%
Picks 31 to 60
Essendon - 30%
Every other team - 36%
Likelihood of drafting a top 25% player (at least 145 games)
Picks 1 to 10
Essendon - 50%
Every other team - 51%
Picks 11 to 30
Essendon - 29%
Every other team - 27%
Picks 31 to 60
Essendon - 12%
Every other team - 17%
So all things considered, Essendon is overall pretty average league wide. I would argue that average performances aren’t a good enough reason to keep someone for 20 years however.
Kinda reflects our mediocre ladder dwelling too. Not the most efficient way to rebuild via draft in the age of the expansion clubs and saga bed-■■■■■■■■.