In Macnamara, I’ve had a number of texts from Benson Saulo, the Liberal candidate plus at least one email. I’ve had one email from Josh Burns, the ALP Member.
It’s just a matter of who I put last, the Liberal or PHON. Time will tell, I guess.
Interesting detailed analysis. Half the voters are women. They do not like the look of Dutton, or his manner and they dont like nuclear reactors. Simplistic analysis, but thats my gut feel.
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Out at my local booth in Goldstein. The ALP machine all but abandoned this electorate. Their candidate must love the level of support she got.
The ALP MUST have been prepared to allow the Libs to win it. Maybe their internal polling indicated Zoe Daniel was safe, or the ALP prefers 2 dominant parties.
I THINK (and I might be wrong here, happy to be corrected) that when counting, the AEC makes their best guess about who the two leading candidates will be, and shapes their counting strategy accordingly in order to speed the process up. They report the 2pp between those two candidates. If they guess wrong, then they have to go back and recalculate the 2pp vote between the actual top 2, which takes time.
But this is based on a fuzzy memory of how Anthony Green explained it during last election’s count. Maybe someone here who’s dm actual scrutinising can explain better.
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Another underwhelming result on the cards today.
Two in three days coming up.
Two elections stand out for me, but not on election night. I wasn’t on the spot and didn’t get to vote.
I was iiving in London when Whitlam won. The first time in my life of a Labor Government and I wasn’t in the country to experience it.
The other one was when Bracks rolled Kennett . I was living in Canberra, in those days, no internet, no TV or radio relays of Vic news on the night, condemned to Sydney news. It took a few days to get the results, like the Gillard one.
The other stand out, a change of government without an election, the Dismissal. I was then living in Brussels. It was a public holiday . Half asleep, I tuned into the BBC world service to get some news about Australia. It dominated the BBC news, but didn’t rate a mention on the Belgian news.
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Croxton is a boutique suburb, so as relevant as GWS, Gold Coast, or Footscray in Ballarat.
Norfcote is evil. Fark Norfcote, and Fark Carlton.
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As my fellow nerd has pointed out, how the vote is actually initially counted and sorted is not necessarily the same as how some random broadcaster (or spammed non-broadcaster) may present it.
How about Porktopia, you need to go back to that for a suburb name.
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Add things like dental into Medicare, free childcare, wiping off all HECS debt, massive increases to (Government funded) social housing. All worthy but very, very expensive.
The fact that all this is meant to be funded by taxing the heck out of those greedy/nasty/wealthy corporations is the part that probably didn’t land well at the AFR.
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Surely it makes no sense for the ALP to commit significant resources to an unwinnable seat like this. Their preferred outcome would be a Teal win.
No question many ALP voters in Goldstein will vote tactically for Zoe.
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I’m surprised Benson knows which party he’s trying to score the sweet gravy train ride on today, he’s tried so many flavours.
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vote cast in the free and fair elections of the occupied territories of west malvern
i’d love to try and draw an inference of the nation-wide results based on overheard and observed conversations, but i don’t live in a neighbourhood full of lunatics
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Nazis are out this morning.
Mrs Wim saw them on the Monash.
From memory, in previous elections, the Greens were a close second to the Libs on primary votes in Goldstein.
It’s a bit like Wannon, no chance for Labor. If Dyson beats Tehan, the Nats would be able to contest the seat in the next election. This would be a new choice for the voters, under the convention that that the Libs and Nats don’t stand against the sitting Lib or Nat member.
i was in wales when gillard rolled rudd. local news “the welsh-born prime minister of australia” and i’m there thinking “you fkng idiots she’s the deputy pm”
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Too soon, man, too soon.
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I was surprised to see that the ballot slip didn’t show:
Benson Saulo ALP
Benson Saulo Greens
Benson Saulo Liberal
And this campaign very carefully hid what “group” was behind it.