Australian Politics, Mark II

The real truth is the Government has little impact on the economy these days.

Immigration is their biggest lever.

Investments, taxes and workplace relations is only improving things at the margins.

The biggest impact to the economy being a) global demand for our stuff b) cost of foreign capital and c) fx are all completely out of the governments control. That’s the true myth around better economic managers.

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Unless they go nuts on tariffs.

The thing is both are intertwined. The idea that we can save the planet without completely transforming the global economy as we know it is laughable, to be frank. If the status quo of global capitalism (i.e. oligarchy) continues, we’re rooted.

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This graph from Stephanie Kelton (proponent of MMT) is fascinating

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The Tories tax cuts are revealed to deliver $70 billion to the top income earners (reported in Guardian):

"According to Treasury documents, flattening tax brackets will result in a total tax cut of $1,205 a year for a person earning $50,000, $1,955 for someone earning $80,000, $3,040 for a person earning $100,000 increasing to $11,640 for those earning $200,000 or more.

Based on the government’s figures that the Coalition’s plan will cost $230bn more than Labor’s, the Australia Institute analysis finds those earning more than $180,000 will get at least $77bn in tax cuts over the next 10 years. Most of that benefit ($64bn) will flow to those earning more than $200,000, it says."

The Grattan Institute’s analysis of Budget figures also shows that the Tories plan to cut $40 billion from spending. The spending cuts may have to go further than that to cover the Tories’ tax handout to the highest paid people in the country.

Genuine “lolwtf” at 10

I thought IPA were just some stuffed shift wankers. Turns out they are bona fide loonies.

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What are the 5 not to implement? Must be some corkers there.

COMPLETE INSITUTE OF PUBLIC AFFAIRS MANIFESTO

15 policies the Coalition should implement but will not

1. Remove all references to race in the Constitution

Martin Luther King, Jr stated “I have a dream that my four little children will one day live in a nation where they will not be judged by the colour of their skin, but by the content of their character.” But Australia’s Constitution currently divides Australians by race. Section 25 of the Australian Constitution, titled “Provision as to races disqualified from voting’, while today redundant remains an affront to Australians’ sense of egalitarianism. Similarly, Section 51(xxvi) of the Australian Constitution gives the Commonwealth government the power to make laws on the basis of race. All Australians are equal and should be treated as equal before the law. Therefore, both provisions should be discarded and references to race in the Constitution must be erased.

2. Repeal Section 18C of the Racial Discrimination Act (1975 )

Free speech is inextricably linked to the Australian way of life. Australians should be able to enjoy and participate in open and unfettered discussion about issues of import to the future of our democracy and our nation. Section 18C stops this from happening. It is an unconscionable and egregious limitation on the free speech rights of all Australians and must be abolished.

3. Withdraw from the Paris Climate Agreement

The Paris Climate Agreement will increase the cost of electricity production by at least $52 billion by 2030 without making any noticeable difference to the environment. The four largest greenhouse gas emitters in absolute terms are not in the Paris Agreement (the United States) or their emissions are not constrained by the Paris Agreement (China and India) or are not on target to meet their obligations under the Paris Agreement (the European Union). It is not in Australia’s national interest to remain party to the Agreement.

4. Implement a flat income tax

Australia’s income tax system punishes success and discourages upward economic mobility. Its interaction with the welfare system also creates welfare traps through high effective marginal tax rates which keeps too many Australians poor and trapped in a poverty cycle. To reduce poverty, expand economic opportunity, promote equality, all Australians should face the same income tax rate.

5. Reduce the corporate tax rate to below 20 per cent, in line with competitor nations

The top marginal company tax rate in Australia of 30 per cent is the third highest in the developed world, and well above the OECD average of 24 per cent and competitor nations such as the United States (21 per cent), the United Kingdom (17 per cent from 2020), and Singapore (17 per cent). Australia’s high corporate tax rate is a key reason why business investment is just 11.5 per cent of GDP, which is lower than the rate that prevailed during the Whitlam years.

6. Appointment of High Court Justices to be rotated between the six states and the Commonwealth

The Commonwealth Government is too big, powerful, and interventionist, and state governments have too small of a role in the operation of Australia’s federation. A key reason for this is that the Commonwealth alone is responsible for appointing Justices to the High Court of Australia. This has unsurprisingly led to the appointment of Judges who favour an expansion of Commonwealth power at the expense of state governments. To correct this imbalance, state governments should play a central role in appointing High Court Justices.

7. Double the size of the House of Representatives, and halve the size of the Ministry

Canberra is too detached and removed from the concerns of mainstream Australia. This is partly a reflection of the size of individual electorates. Almost every Federal electorate contains more than 100,000 voters. This is too many. To get government closer to the people there should be a larger number of electorates with fewer voters, resulting in each voter having a louder voice. In addition, the number of Members of Parliament who are a part of the Ministry at any point in time has grown rapidly over the past two decades. Appointing members to the Ministry, the Outer Ministry, and as Assistant Ministers is a deliberate strategy to silence debate and reduce the influence of backbenchers. For Australia’s democracy to become more robust as in the United Kingdom and the United States, the number of Members of Parliament in the Ministry, Outer Ministry, and as Assistant Ministers should be reduced from 41 to 20.

8. Privatise the ABC

In a free society the government should not own and operate its own media company. The media market in Australia is highly competitive. Online platforms have transformed and disrupted traditional approaches to media. Consumers have never had more choice about where to source their news and opinions on current affairs. Moreover, the ABC is unremittingly bias. Its staff are five times more likely to vote for the Greens compared to the general population. The ABC is beyond reform. New leaders will not fix the problem, regardless of their experience or intention. The ABC must be privatised.

9. Re-introduce the debt ceiling

Gross government debt is currently $546 billion, all of which must be paid back by today’s young Australians via higher future taxes. One approach policy-makers can take to reduce government debt, or at least reduce its growth, is to re-introduce the debt ceiling. A debt-ceiling places a limit on how much the Australian government can borrow. Raising the debt ceiling requires an Act of Parliament, which ensures the issue will be debated and receive the public attention it deserves. A debt ceiling was implemented by the Rudd government in 2007 and it was set at $75 billion. With the support of the Greens, the Abbott government with Joe Hockey as Treasurer abolished the debt ceiling in 2013 as debt approached $300 billion.

10. Hold a Royal Commission into the Bureau of Meteorology’s tampering with temperature and climate data

The Bureau of Meteorology appears to have tampered with temperature and climate data and to have re-written history to make it appear as if the temperature is higher than it actually is, and that is has risen faster than it actually has. Australians deserve to know the truth about their public institutions. The only way to find the truth about potential temperature data manipulation is to hold a Royal Commission into the Bureau of Meteorology’s activities.

11. Abolish compulsory superannuation

Compulsory superannuation is a tax on workers’ wages which is coercively redistributed to the Unions. Australian workers should be free to decide how much of their own income they are willing to defer until retirement, and how much they need in the present to spend on items such as housing, education, and health care.

12. Abolish the Renewable Energy Target

Target and end all subsidies to wind, solar, and hydro-electricity generators Subsidies to renewable energy generation in Australia are expected to reach $60 billion by 2030. The Renewable Energy Target at the Commonwealth level, as well as state-based targets, have been the main contributors to this subsidy blow-out. Because renewables are uncompetitive, expensive, and unreliable, Australia’s electricity prices have increased by 120 per cent over the past decade – around double the rate of inflation. This has a disproportionate effect on the lowest income earners who spend a higher portion of their income on energy than others. Moreover, this cost comes at no noticeable benefit to the environment. For example, over the period of 2001 (when the RET was first implemented by the Howard government) to 2014, the RET resulted in 0.005 per cent fewer carbon emissions globally from human sources which in turn account for just three per cent of total emissions.

13. Introduce a one-in-two-out approach to reduce red tape

Red tape is the single biggest impediment to business investment, job creation, and economic opportunity in Australia. Each year red tape reduces economic output by $176 billion, which is equivalent to 10 per cent of GDP. This cost represents all of the jobs which are never created, the wages which never rise, the businesses never started, and the dreams which go unfulfilled because of red tape. Governments should cut red tape by repealing two laws for every new law introduced.

14. Repeal the Fair Work Act

The Fair Work Act denies hundreds and thousands of Australians the dignity of work. There are currently 1.7 million Australians who are either unemployed or unable to work the number of hours they want. This is largely due to the Fair Work Act which prevents employers and employees from reaching mutually beneficial employment agreements. The Fair Work Act is too complicated and broken to reform. It must be repealed in full.

15. Legalise nuclear power in Australia

Australia has 30 per cent of the world’s uranium deposits, some of which we export to the rest of the world for power generation. Yet we forbid ourselves from using nuclear power for domestic energy generation. Meanwhile, Australia has the fourth highest electricity prices in the world. Section 140A(1) of the Environment Protection and Biodiversity Conservation Act (1999) states there is to be “no approval for certain nuclear installations” including “a nuclear power plant”. These four words – “a nuclear power plant” – should be removed from the Section to legalise the development of a nuclear power plant in Australia.

5 policies the Coalition should not implement but will

1. Do not hold a Referendum to divide Australians by race

The proposal to establish the Constitutional recognition of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islanders Peoples would irrevocably undermine national unity and is a regressive throwback to the days when race played a central role in Australia’s Constitution. Similarly, the proposal to establish a separate entity in the Constitution to be ‘The Voice’ of Indigenous Australians is divisive and false - all Australians are represented by the Commonwealth parliament and are equal before the law. Race has no place in Australia’s Constitution.

2. Do not raise taxes

Australia is a high tax nation and workers and families pay too much tax. Over the past decade real taxes per capita have risen by 11 per cent. According to the Reserve Bank of Australia, over the past year taxes paid by households increased by around 8 per cent, more than double the rate of growth in household income. This means more money is going to the government and less money can be spent on household essentials such as housing, child care, and education. The Coalition should not raise taxes, and ideally should reduce taxes.

3. Do not raise spending

The true cause of high and rising taxes is high and rising spending. Every dollar of spending must be paid back with higher taxes, either today or in the future via the accumulation of debt which is a tax on the next generation of Australians. Government spending has increased from 23.1 per cent of GDP at the end of the Howard-era to 24.6 per cent today (not including off-Budget expenses and liabilities such as the NBN). In absolute terms spending has increased by approximately 80 per cent, which is the equivalent to 6 per cent per year. This is well above the average rate of inflation of around 2 per cent per year.

4. Do not proceed with Snowy 2.0

The Snowy Hydro 2.0 project will be remembered alongside the NBN as a costly, ineffective, outdated, and inefficient bureaucratic program which won’t solve the underlying public policy problem of high and rising electricity prices and unreliable supply. The project will cost at least $4.5 billion, it won’t become operational until at least 2024-25, and it will be a net energy user, meaning it will be a drain on the energy grid. Instead, governments should provide policy settings which allow for the development of reliable and cost-effective coal-fired power generation.

5. Do not introduce new anti-discrimination laws

In the context of the Religious Freedom Review, it has been suggested that new anti-discrimination laws be introduced to protect freedom of religion. However, adding new restrictions through religious antidiscrimination laws would constitute a significant threat to the freedom of conscience of all Australians. Freedom, whether exercised for a religious purpose or not, should only be limited where the exercise of that freedom impacts another person’s freedom or peaceful use and enjoyment of their own property. The only way to sufficiently protect religious freedom is to remove laws that currently place restrictions on religious thought and practice.

they’ll still happen under the table, all of a sudden, 10,000 BHP employees donate $1000 of their personal money to the one of the lib members charities…

that sort of thing.

Bacchus will say Im talking conspiracy theories, but I had a lib staffer flat out tell me that’s what happens.

Holy moly

This all reads like a Facebook post from someone whose profile picture is a selfie taken in their car while wearing wrap-around sunglasses.

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MLK! Wowsers, I really though BF was doing a grand parody. You can’t do that chaps.

that is horrific

All real, straight off the IPA website. Think it was written by a Dr Goebels or a close relative

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LOL

Think about it beni !! 10,000 BHP employees which is about 16% of their total employees each donate $1000 to Liberals for a total of $10,000,000 !! Sorry comrade, just does not happen.

While I could see the Mining Industry donate large sums to the LNP, and BHP offer very very good wages, you would not get such an organised “donation” without Trade Unions screaming about it.

I was talking in hypotheticals about how it gets done, and im not talking about BHP< im talking about how certain LNP members fill their coffers under the table

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most of these people dont know a donation was made on their behalf by the way

only the lads doing the books

There are some cracking ideas in there. I really like the Royal Commission into the BoM but what would they say when it turns out that there isn’t a conspiracy and things really are turning to ■■■■■ pretty quickly. Would be a bit harder to brush that under the carpet.

It is also worth remembering the old debt truck running around the country at $75B worth in the days of the Rudd government. Where is the $546B seven trailer road train showing how great and wonderful the Libs are at economic management? Any idea on where it is parked Bacchus?

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Debates on what needs to be done to reduce the adverse effects of climate change are reduced to bean counting on figures and putting a surplus ( using dubious estimates) ahead of climate change as a policy.

Ive always thought IPA members deserve a final solution treatment

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You cannot be hypothetical and talk about BHP.

I can tell you chapter and verse how the Liberals and Labor get their money. And there are no elaborate schemes like some may suggest.

My Sister has been a key fund-raiser in Kooyong and while I don’t like her politics and think she is an interfering, overbearing ■■■■■, she is straight to me. Many private companies give to the Liberals and do it by attendance at events (like Telstra did), and most never attend. A table can be $10,000 and they sell 100 table at a venue that old less than half of that. Labor hold chook raffles, but Trade Unions buy lots of tickets. I do not really care about this type of fund-raising, but what I reckon is the big issue is systematic rorting of Government money at elections by all sitting members.

You may have got an invitation in the mail to apply for a Postal Vote. Labor has sent them out and so have Liberals, all paid for as part of Parliamentary allowances, which are supposed to be spent on non-Party matters. It is also amazing how printing costs escalate around election time, when you would think larger volumes would mean cheaper prices.

Sooner we have a revolution and I can shoot all the robbers and rapists the better.