Expect Egypt- whose president just won reelection with 89% of the vote (lol)- to get very nervous about a loss of Suez Canal revenue
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Spectacular shot. Looks like the lava is mostly headed north, which is great news for Grindavik.
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Looks like my lungs.
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The video IceTemple posted showed it heading South…has it changed?
Oh! I hope not! I am going off information I heard at about 3pm today.
I’ve just been reading that lava is flowing in all directions but that the volume has been decreasing.
All the residents of Grindavik had been evacuated previously so they’re all safe.
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https://x.com/javierblas/status/1737445264330301553?s=46&t=A5S-z5IJslFoC5SVN0Jodg
This will increase prices in Europe for many goods, but the container fleet can adjust by using excess capacity and increasing fleet speed.
That slack isn’t available in the LNG fleet, which is replacing the Russian gas supply. This means any extension in delivery time effectively reduces the number of gas deliveries per month. The end result will be an artificial increase in gas prices while the Houthi threat remains.
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There’s a Djibouti Code of Conduct for the western Indian Ocean and the Gulf of Aden, aimed at strengthening national and regional capacity for maritime security. It comprises most of States on the East African Coast and adjacent island States as well as States in the Aden Gulf.
France is the only non regional State Member , although India, Norway, Japan, UK and USA have observer status.
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There is also a Combined Military Force for the Middle East involving around 38 countries. Reportedly however only 9 have joined in responding to the Houthi attacks. Bahrein is the only ME State to respond to the US request. Saudi and others appear to have been reluctant to show support for Israel. While Canada and some European have joined, Spain has denied that it is part of the group. It is also unclear as to the extent of French support.
Some media reports suggest that support for the US initiative is broader, but that some States don’t want to be named.
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Reading between the lines there is a decent amount of support in the Middle East, but being kept discreet.
I was disappointed we didn’t send an air warfare destroyer because it’s brilliant institutional experience on top of the diplomatic benefits.
There was a report in regard to the Saudis, that it is giving priority to maintaining the informal Houthi/ Yemen Government ceasefire. Around 400k are reported to have died in this conflict.
Certainly, the current politics do not allow for support to be seen in the ME for the US position on Israel in the UNSC, using its veto power to block Arab proposals - as worded - for a ceasefire and unblocking humanitarian aid in Gaza . The UN has estimated that 500k are at risk of dying from health complications from starvation there.
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Egypt must be bleeding cash, im surprised they haven’t said anything
My understanding is that Egypt is economically in a dire state at the moment and is facing a potential renewed Arab Spring uprising. One of the reasons Hamas was able to arm themselves as they have is Egypt looked the other way and profited off the smuggling trade into Gaza. The Egyptian government is in an awkward bind between their international commitments and their domestic politics.
Lean too hard against Israel and they lose big internationally. Lean towards Israel and they risk domestic trouble. Like most of the nations in the area that dislike Hamas, the approach seems to be laying low and hoping it goes away quickly.
I would think they would make more $ from vessels going through the canal than it ever would from smuggling, but clearly im missing something as they keep quiet. They don’t have to support Israel to say something about the vessels being hit by Yemen.
My guess is the long term domestic problems are the big concern for these countries. The Houthi stuff probably goes away in a few weeks, but the domestic trouble would last much longer.
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Thought we were not allowed to talk about this stuff anymore.
If we are being allowed to talk about Israel and Gaza then there are a few of us with lots to say.
No opinions, media and public statements on safe passage in Red Sea cargo traffic routes, direct connection is to Israel/Gaza conflict. Otherwise inexplicable without this context.
The part I quoted has nothing to do with the Red Sea issues from the Houthis. You decided to throw some extra in.
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