Unless we can jag a Geelong or Doggies type win or two, I donāt see us making it and Iām fine with it.
Still, we will have a bloody good team for the run home so anything is possible.
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I think
Port at the MCG is 50/50
Doggies are 50/50
Pies 50/50 - we just seem to match up well against them.
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I cant believe I am writing this thread - but yes - after last nights grinding win we currently are sitting in 7th spot and SHOULD manage to play finals this yearā¦!!!
We are pretty much at the half way point of the season 11 games down and 12 to come.
We currently have 6 wins and 5 losses.
Iāve had a quick look at the draw and of the 12 remaining games we have;-
6 likely wins - North X 2, Carlton, Adelaide, Swans, WCoast (all at Marvel)
4 games we are some chance in? - Freo (in Perth), GWS (in Sydney), Port (MCG), Dogs (marvel)
2 likely losses - Collingwood , Geelong (in Geelong)
If we can win the games we should and pinch 1 or 2 of the games we are a chance in it should leave us on 13 or 14 wins and this will be enough to play finalsā¦
Geelong are outside the 8 and youād expect them to come in - maybe at the expense of Freo or St Kilda who are starting to look wobblyā¦
It would also be nice if Brisbane do us a favour today and beat Adelaide who have a relatively easy run homeā¦
Cant see the Swans, Blues or Tigers making it - and with Shiel, 2MP, Setterfield and Parish to come back into the team youād have to say we are more likely than not to play a finals in 2023
Long way to go thoughā¦come at meā¦!!!
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Now youāve done itā¦
Delete! 
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Bookies have us at around $2.10 to make it - gamble responsibly
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What are our odds to lose any elimination final by over 39.5?
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Are you perchance looking for the lid off 2023 thread my good sir?!
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Yep, should be merged with Lid Off thread.
Until we reach the Bye at 8-5, thereās no point talking about it.
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Get thee to the Lid On thread!
(there is one still, right?)
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Buried deep in the depths.
I think we win 11 out of remaining 12, maybe all 12.
I think we can take Collingwood and maybe Geelong.
Those two arenāt getting any better than when we played them (maybe Collingwood) but we will be ! Big Time !
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does this run come with a finals win?
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Yep 3
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You think people wouldāve learnt their lesson after 20 years of this ā ā ā ā , maybe not.
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Freo and crows results this weekend do not help our chances
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Nope. Need Crows to drop a few at home. Theyāre useless outside of AO but have enough home games to get them over the line for finals.
Adelaide is not a likely win and we wont beat Port.
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Yikes. 
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I am usually lid off, but find any talk of finals about 2 months premature at this stage.
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