I think a key is how you view that last bit of 2013. Was that us tailing off because of poor preparation and the team was spent? Or did a team who knew they would be penalised and miss finals, who had had a raft of admin resign, who had been in the media's sights all year, whose coach would shortly be banned, put the cue back in the rack?
It's a vital question because until the last bit of the season, we were better than this year. We were being lauded for our disposal efficiency, we had a tight back six, and had dominated many teams in the midfield. The only "soft" game we had lost was one to Brisbane.
Backline
Don't really believe its improved. Hibberd & Fletcher have been worse due to injury, Dempsey missed lots and up & down, Bags improved, Hooker still dominant, and in my view Carlisle and Hurley are a wash. Sure, Hurley's disposal out of defence is better, but Carlisle dominated his man more and had way more intercept marks.
Of course, it all went pear shaped in the last six rounds last year. SplitRound mentioned we had 2 scores of 100 against us this year, 7 last year. Well 5 of those were in the last 6 games. Up until Round 17 only Sydney and Geelong had scored 100 against us. We have conceded 78 points a game this year, last year it was 82 for the first 16 games, 115 for the last 6.
As I said earlier, what you blame those last 6 games on is critical to rating the period. Up until then there was hardly any difference in our performance in the backline.
Midfield
There have been plusses and minuses. Heppell has come on, and we have survived missing Watson. Colyer has appeared, while Stanton has changed from 'elite' to 'good'. Goddard has been less consistent but Chapman going into the middle has been critical at times. Melksham disappeared but Zerret came on. Myers picked up while Howlett dropped off.
Generally the real issue for me is that at times in 2012 and 2013 we were lauded for our delivery. Not many are saying that about us at any time in 2014. We have really missed Stanton's over-lapping run. chris_64 mentioned we were 4th in the league for I50's, I'd have thought up to Rnd 17 we would have been top 4 last year as well. But last year I think we used it a lot better going into the F50.
but have survived Watson being missing. Heppell is going to be elite. Unfortunately our next rung is still untested as Hams/Browne/Kav/Dalgiesh were all injured or disappointing.
On the flip side Zerret is a find, Colyer has come on, Gleeson looks good, and Ashby showed a bit when he was on. Obviously there was rotation to flanks during their stints (either HBF or HFF), but heh, that's modern football. All look like potential contributors to the rotations. Jerrett also showed a lot in a few games and had us all excited before turning off. Would love to know which version of him will be the long term one.
Forwards
Well down on last year. Went from averaging 98 points a game in 2013 (108 to Round 17) to 83 this year. Now, given we lost Crameri, delisted Davey, Belly was injured and Carlisle was learning his gig, this was partly to be expected. On the other hand, we had Chappy and lots of games where Winders was available.
Overall, it is clear that whether it was midfield delivery (some to blame), losing key players (partly to blame), playing key forwards in the ruck (some blame) or playing kids who are still developing (partly to blame), it is abundantly clear the forward line was not as good this year.
Overall
I think I'm disappointed. I thought we'd take the team we saw for the first 17 rounds last year, and push for top 4. The major cog was replacing Davey & Crameri, and I thought Chappy would fill one of those holes. Instead, we've averaged 24 points less a game, dropped a number of gettable games, and got into the finals on the back of a small margin. I saw the last three games of the season, and although we picked up 10 of a possible 12 points, we could have lost all three games. And none of those teams are real challengers (ex Ablett anyway!). Our form line has been poor, while our form line for 17 rounds last year was fantastic. Our percentage after round 17 last year was 131%, it is 106% this year. That really encapsulates the changes.
Overall, I don't particularly like how Hird had behaved as coach with the saga. But if he can get us to perform like we were early last year in 2015, I'll welcome him back with open arms. Although he better keep the open training sessions. Grrr.
On the upside I do think some key players have improved/been found. If Stanton, Belly and Hibberd are injury free next year and in top form, we have a good injury run, and Carlisle/JD/Ambrose all improve, things could be very promising.
Getting back to the footy for a while, Ants provides good detail in summary of the season that was, in 'End of Round 23, have we improved?' thread in the Hangar. A lengthy post but full of wholesome nourishment and provides plenty of food for thought as well as half your daily intake of essential vitamins and minerals.