Russia invades Ukraine - 2 - from 4 May 2022

Actual content of the Forbes article, as opposed to tone, shows it should be taken quite seriously.

Rocket launchers more stable than automatic weapon used for comic video. Has link to small drone firing one - expect large swarms coming to a war near you.

See also link to working sniper dog:

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That’s a key consideration that is often overlooked. It takes practice at all levels to mount offensive operations in the scale required and that has not been their focus in the last few years.
They did not have sufficient equipment before Feb 24 to do it and they still don’t. They would need hundreds of additional tanks and IFV just for one of the areas (Kherson, Izum, Kharkiv, etc.) And the support required (more arty, engineers- lots of them)

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UN SG and Erdogan to meet with Zelensky in Kyiv. Reportedly the ZNPP will be discussed as well as wider issues, with Erdogan being the go between with Russia.

IAEA Chief will also visit Kviv to progress IAEA inspection of the ZNPP. He would have explored options with the respective UA and Russian Permanent Missions to the IAEA in Vienna. Reportedly Russia has agreed to an inspection but does not want inspection teams ( which could involve UN people) to route through Kyiv, on the grounds that it is not safe.
The UN and IAEA would have a shared goal of a DMZ around the plant, but this might not be seen to Russia’s advantage. In the shorter term, a UA and Russian ceasefire there could be a possibility, with Erdogan tasked with selling it to Putin.

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Could just be reducing reliance on a 3rd party for satellite data.

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As explained in an article of 18 August in Open Forum

  • How commercial satellites are helping Ukraine

openforum.com.au

Going back to the start of the War, there were media reports of the UA Government entering into contracts with US commercial satellite companies

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^More careless birthday celebrations?

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Small consolation that people in Timonovo are having a worse day today than EFC supporters.

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His explanation is pretty obvious, but I just can’t take him seriously when he’s recording a Youtube analysis video in his pyjamas and satin dressing gown.

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Thanks! That article does provide a good overview from the start of the war:

As it mentions that is clearly (and necessarily) facilitated by US intelligence agencies. Not mentioned, the same was true for the urgent supply of Starlink terminals.

I haven’t checked current updates but GPS should be positioning to provide much greater coverage of the ukrainian front lines that is harder to jam, for approved military users. Also Iridium.

But I’m still interested in theories on why public fund raising is going to this particular addition to what is well known to have been available since the start of the war.

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View of a Ukrainian:

Russia is preparing for an act of nuclear terrorism tomorrow. Russian socials burst with news of ‘Ukraine preparing the shelling of Zaporizhzhia NPP,’ personnel is banned from going to the station tomorrow, a few video leaks indicate military equipment inside the machine rooms of nuclear reactors. Tomorrow, Europe can start turning into a radioactive desert thanks to Russia, as the winds are blowing hard from Zaporizhzhia NPP toward Europe.

Surely Russia ain’t that stupid

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Russia took over the ZNPP in March. Why has it taken so long to reach crisis point?
Or all this is being massaged as part of a wider deal involving concessions to Russia? Just reading the tea leaves

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I’m not going to be able to catch up during lunch with HIMARS o’clock, but all I can say is ■■■■ has been going down over the last 10 hours. Hectic.

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