Nah, if they Russia really wants to make a difference there, they need to bring in a squad of elite AFL umpires.
They make up rules on the fly, everyone has to obey them without the slightest criticism (let alone shooting at them), and of course they are always correct and “get the result we need”.
So last night I had a dream that Putin was poisoned. Even my subconscious wants him dead. Thought this was rather profound given I usual dream of naked ……
A key component of a defence , in addition to depth positions and layered lines, is competent and mobile reserves. They can react to plug holes in a defensive line or counter attack when the advancing force needs to stop and resupply. The russians don’t seem to have that or they are too slow to react.
Ewwww and I think i deserved that!
Any obstacle, man made like a minefield or natural, needs to be covered by fire; otherwise, it’s just a little speedbump
There’s nothing to indicate or suggest that they would culminate anytime soon unless western support dries out and Russia suddenly gets a grip, finds hundreds of good tanks and other equipment.
There’s a number of reasons we might see a Ukrainian culmination soon.
1, it’s difficult to maintain high operational tempos without standing down men and equipment for rest, repair and replenishment.
2. It will be mud season within a few weeks.
This is not to say the Russians won’t remain on the back foot, but they might get a chance to reorganize before the ground firms up again in winter.
Ukraine did take a 10ish day rest between Izyum and Lyman offensives. They may do a similar thing in Kherson, but the push happened so fast they may feel they can go a bit longer, try to find weaknesses in Russian hastily prepared defences.
There looks to be a bit of a rest period up north before another push east.
Russians hoping for mud season and then winter?
Likely to be pretty miserable laying cold and wet in a trench.
I don’t think winter will help them (the Russians). Their soldiers are so poorly equipped they will struggle. Meanwhile the Ukrainians will get the best of everything.
I believe their soldier production has not peaked yet and still ramping up.
Mud or winter does not mean culmination but you are right, it definitely means a slowdown until ground freezes and then low to moderate intensity depending on snow cover, thaw cycles, equipment reliability. Local surprise and recce tasks will be more difficult, so there will be more reliance on uav and artillery. Given the way the russians maintain a tactical posture in their trenches or locatios, it will not be difficult to find them by heat (bonfires) and their garbage. Plus morale will continue to plummet; UA forces might not need to do anything and stil capture eagerly willing POW, equipment and terrain.
Thermal camera drones guiding artillery and night time assault recon with infantry using night vision goggles are going to be absolutely brutal on Russian lines held by conscripts.
Man that’s intense. Especially when i thought the bloke at the end was going to shoot his mate’s head off.
