Not that it will happen.
https://twitter.com/JayinKyiv/status/1595503405208072192?s=20&t=W2PsODtdVP8YRD6CRYsr3A
Prigozhin sent the European Parliament a sledgehammer in a violin case with an engraved logo of"Wagner" and traces of “blood” on the handle. This is the Putin’s world, that Ukrainians are fighting alone, giving their lives to stop.
Russian military complex has been exposed, has never looked weaker since WW2 and have their hands full at the moment. There is a good chance of uprisings in the Caucasus as well. They have a long history of resisting Russian rule.
From a tactical point of view, perhaps it’s better for countries like Georgia ( currently partially occupied by the Orcs) to wait for the confusion around Russias defeat/Putins demise before moving on to reclaim their territory.
Ponars Eurasia is a Washington based academic think tank specialising in Eurasia.
It has a number of articles on Georgia developments pre and post the War in Ukraine and Black Sea issues, including the role of Turkey
ponarseurasia.org
Interesting site, thanks for sharing
Charming
I found that video encouraging. The other panelists were making a distinction between Kherson etc and the traditional Russian borders.
Solovyov was the only one running the party line in that respect. Although he can change his tune, I wonder if he is a little too enthusiastic for the official position- it makes it more difficult to brush aside previous policies.
‘Kremlin’s agents in robes’ – or the role of Russian Church in the Ukraine war - Geneva Solutions
Since the start of Russia’s war against Ukraine in 2014, priests from the UOC-MP have actively asked Ukrainian soldiers to give up their arms or face “cursing”. There have also been multiple reports of UOC-MP churches hiding both Russia-led militants and Russian weapons, in particular, the Sviatohirsk Cave Monastery in the Donbas.
In summary, the UOC-MP has been carrying out various goals and tasks set out by Russia’s special services. These include active propaganda, with phrases such as, “it’s not Russian aggression, it’s a civil war” – and Crimea is not occupied because “we’re one people”.
There have also been Indirect calls on Ukraine to capitulate by using the phrase “fight for peace” and denouncing the existence of the Ukrainian nation outside of the “Russian world”. What’s more, the government of Ukraine has been actively discredited and libelled before international organisations.
Since 24 February, this agenda has expanded, with churches in regions occupied by Russia – Kharkiv, Zaporizhzhia, Luhansk, Donetsk, and Mykolaiv – allegedly assisting the military in resettling Ukrainian refugees in Russia.
As many as seven dioceses are still working in Ukraine under the Russian Orthodox Church. In each of the regions, the Russian Church has a powerful lobby in local self-government bodies. Behind each of the dioceses, there are militant groups camouflaged as public organisations which consist of Cossack organisations and retired security forces and provide force support to the Russian Church.
In the capital of Ukraine, Kyiv, the Kyiv-Pechersk Lavra, a historic Eastern Orthodox Christian monastery, is still legally under Moscow’s control. Just like the Pochaiv Lavra, it works for the FSB.
…The world community has already reacted to the criminal actions of the Russian Orthodox Church. The UK, in particular, introduced harsh sanctions against Patriarch Kirill and his entourage, which caused hysteria in the Kremlin. Today, it is necessary to ensure maximum security on the church front and disperse the fifth column in robes.
Since Russia’s invasion, the UOC-MP has left more than 400 parishes - BBC News Ukraine
Ukraine’s Honorary Patriarch: ‘God Is With David, Not Goliath,’ And Ukraine Will Defeat Russia (rferl.org)
Ukraine and the Future of Offensive Maneuver - War on the Rocks
As to the position of Russian Orthodox parishes in the regions of Ukraine which have not been part of the separist regions or Crimea?
They are on the public record in opposing the Russian invasion.
That is what I was referring to.
Sauce?
My wide readings of open source information since the relatively recent Ukraine Orthodox Church broke from the Russian Orthodox Patriarch to the Antioch Patriarch.
Not every Orthodox parish in unoccupied Ukraine transferred to the Antioch Patriarch.
It is understandable that the Russian Orthodox parishes in occupied Ukraine under Russian domination would owe their survival ( including their lives) to political allegiance to Russia. The Russian Orthodox parishes in unoccupied Ukraine are not under the same pressure.
A recent article on the topic
With searches, Ukraine focuses suspicions on Orthodox clergy
A lot of conjecture about it…
Here is an official photo from Kremlin site. His legs just don’t look right.
Which doesn’t prove your assertion that I was incorrect