Russia invades Ukraine - 4 - from 14 March 2023

As well as that entire thread full of comments insisting that more arms should be sent to Ukraine faster I am seeing more and more scattered comments on that theme when looking at other threads linked from here.

Especially pointing out that aircraft demanded by Ukraine are essential for combined arms breaching of heavily reinforced entrenchments and long range ATACMS for stopping the stand off attacks.

But most significantly some comments are starting to mutter about why Ukraine is required to fight alone, with only supplies from it’s “allies”.

What “collective defence” doing?

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Interesting comment in same thread:

As emphasized by Ryan, “loyalty” is much more important than competence for current regime that has lost elite support as well as popular support. They have every reason to fear people less subservient and more competent being in charge of armed forces.

Seems pretty clear that large numbers of fascists in Russia would like to replace both Gerasimov and Putin. China is not giving the impression that it would be less likely to provide necessary munitions etc if somebody more serious (and less keen on “irresponsible” waving of nuclear weapons that China does not want waved) were to take power.

Long term future is with the Russian opposition to the war, when it gets its act together. But a response to further Ukrainian victories could well be a more competently led fascist regime with more support from China.

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Thanks. Very interesting Economist article unpaywalled on UA 7 $450 expendable drones and on signal repeaters for “heavy bomber” Octocopters with Dragon Link radios ($240 retail).

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That’s a really good article, combines a lot of the info circulated into a neat summary.

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The Siversky-Donets canal which supplies the region remains largely under Ukrainian control but has been frequently contested along its long route. Russian forces have likely been seeking to secure the canal to reduce water scarcity within Donetsk.

Looks like the UK MoD Defence Intelligence updates are based on speculation about announcements.

Should be paying more attention to OSINT like Ukrainian artillery planner Arty Green’s expert explanation of significance of Siversky-Donets canal as a comfortable defensive position for Russians and potential launch points for Ukrainians when time for offensive to retake Donbas.

PS Also somewhat illogical - control of water flow in the canal mainly requires control of the source, at the Siversky River end, not control of the various points where canal is “frequently contested”.

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This sounds more and more like the UA are going to find a new and important role for drones in the coming offensive.

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Haha.
US established Perseus and Medusa units to defeat Snake.
Greek myths live.
Maybe Perseus can save Andromeda (Ukraine) from Cetus the northern sea monster (Russia)

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If no one in his inner circle tops him, Vlad will press the button. He’s got nothing to lose now.

Looks like this E-F-G-I alliance (A-H and T a little shakier) might have the Tsar’s measure. 'Specially if Army Sev won’t even support Army Mos-Ukr.

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Russian “airborne” troops. Not for the sensitive.

𝔗𝔥𝔢 𝔇𝔢𝔞𝔡 𝔇𝔦𝔰𝔱𝔯𝔦𝔠𝔱 :georgia::ukraine::us_outlying_islands::greece: on Twitter: “These Russian airborne troops… #Ukraine https://t.co/pfdFMgbn2o” / Twitter

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China peace proposal is predicated on no nukes. Putin needs Xi.

Chinese are having 2 bob each way.

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The Russian Victory Parade was very blokey, but lightened up by the women’s brigade, goose stepping in white mini skirts with black boots up to their knees.
Lukashenko ( or his look alike) in his role of a Mafia Godfather kissing the ones next in line to be bumped off.
The civilian crowd in the stands didn’t look too animated, the occasional red flag.
The hammer and sickle had pride of place with the Russian Federation flag in the official ceremonies. Communist Party March past prior to the 10 am start, carrying pics of Uncle Joe.

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I have to say that is not only funny, but so very typical of the RUAF.

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