Russia invades Ukraine - 6 - from 7 August 2024

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:thread: Interesting excerpts from the @KyivIndependent interview with Ukrainian Rangers, who captured one of the two North Korean soldiers in Kursk.Image

  1. The KPA troops sent to :ru: aren’t starving conscripts eager to defect, like many assumed (despite :kr:&:ukraine: intel publicly stating otherwise).
    They are well-fed, trained & motivated troops of the KPA SOF.
    There are :kr:&:ukraine: reports that wounded/trapped :north_korea: troops resort to suicide.Image

  2. The rough appearance of the first KPA POW who died shortly after & a writing discovered on a dead :north_korea: may point to the presence of older soldiers & penal transfers. But the troops these :ukraine: Rangers frequently encounter seem to be young, fit & motivated.Image

  3. Unsurprisingly, :north_korea:’s properly trained & selected young men perform better in combat than :ru:’s forcibly mobilized reservist mobiks & post-2023 kontraktniki lured by high pay, both types usually being middle-aged & beyond, with many being unfit for service.Image

  4. The deployed :north_korea: troops likely all come from the 11th Storm Corps (SOF), while some perhaps are from the Reconnaissance General Bureau (military intelligence clandestine ops). Read more about these units here:

  5. KPA SOF excel at light infantry work - because that’s what they’re made for. Their intended role is to infiltrate :kr: rear areas, eluding ROK military & police by quickly traversing the densely vegetated & mountainous Korean terrain.Image

  6. Now, however, they’re being employed by :ru: commanders as assault infantry on flat, wide, open terrain, facing an enemy who not only knows they’re coming - but can see them.
    KPA SOF are completely out of their element in these conditions.Image

  7. Handicapped by their inherent isolation from modern tech & world news, :north_korea: troops had little understanding of drones. This was compounded by how short their preparation time in :ru: was, which lasted only one week for the first deployment wave.Image

  8. However, observations by :ukraine: troops seem to suggest :north_korea: troops are learning & adapting, reportedly using innovative tactics & making use of their excellent marksmanship, taking out more small drones on average than :ru: troops.

  9. The battlefield experiences gained by the KPA will not remain isolated to the troops in Kursk. Not only has :north_korea: begun production on :ru: Lancet drone copies, but have also begun integrating drones for exercises involving all their forces, incl reserves.

rfa.org/english/korea/…

  1. It’s regrettable that a proposal to deploy a ROK military intelligence & advisory group to :ukraine: was shot down by :kr: opposition in defiance of anything the now-impeached President Yoon’s gov did.
    At least the National Intelligence Service (NIS) is in close contact with :ukraine: intel.

  2. Sources:

youtu.be/mCjbEm63POo?si…
google.com/amp/s/m.yna.co…

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General Campbell has been appointed Ambassador at our Bxl post, where he will be accredited as Ambassador to NATO ( as well as Belgium, Luxembourg and the EU).

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2/:thread:

Recently, the #Russians captured both of the treelines on the railway line’s sides between #Udachne and #Kotlyne, crucial defense hubs, and are fighting for the key mines just behind the railway, which normally constitute formidable obstaclesImage

3/:thread:

As of now, the #Russians entered mine VPS-1 (#Udachne) and control the south-eastern part of mine N°2 (#Kotlyne). The railway between the two settlements is also in #Russian hands, while mine Donets’kstal’-M3, N°1 and their ventilation shafts are under #Ukrainian control.

4/:thread:

Here’s mine N°2’s configuration. Two tall pile drivers (captured), a tall building and an electric station constitute its main strong points. It’s also located behind the railway’s two treelines, with another one north and #Kotlyne to the south, making its position strong.Image

5/:thread:

Here’s Mine N°1’s. Its main strongpoints are 3 pile drivers, multiple tall buildings overlooking the railway and and an electrical substation. Another one is just west, #Udachne is north-west. As of now the #Russians only control the easternmost corner of the mine.Image

6/:thread:

The reason of the criticality of the situation is the #Russians broke through at least 2 of the 3 good defensive lines (marked in different colors) of the region in at least a couple of points. The next line that I didn’t mark is the #Dnipro line - fields - #Pokrovsk line.Image

7/:thread:

The #Ukrainians understand how critical the situation is, and have sent reserves to the area according to #Ukrainian sources, hoping to slow down the #Russians. Unfortunately, though, the best moment to stop them has been lost when the “#Zapadnaya” terykon was captured.

8/:thread:

It’s clear that the #Russians don’t want to take on the #Pokrovsk - #Myrnohrad agglomeration head-on and want to cut their supply roads first. 5 main roads supply the cities, of which 1 was physically cut and the other 3 are under FPV control. One is still safe to drive.Image

9/:thread:

The #Ukrainians have understood this and have started digging a new anti-tank ditch in front of #Hryshyne about a month ago. This indicates that the #Ukrainians are willing to ditch all the fields between #Udachne, #Hryshyne and #Pokrovsk to retreat to better positions.

10/:thread:

Here’s what I mean. This would mean retreating to the fortifications on the #Dnipro Oblast’ border, behind the #Byk river and then behind the #Hryshynka river, as the trench systems that were dug south of the river looking north would have to be re-organized to look south.Image
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11/:thread:

This decision is a drastic one, but this is what #Ukraine needs right now: drastic decisions. Yes, #Serhiyivka, #Udachne, #Kotlyne and many big industrial areas will be lost and the #Dnipro line is not guaranteed to hold, but this is their best bet for the future imo.

12/:thread:

Keep in mind there are in-between lines, such as holding #Serhiyivka and the river behind it, the two railways before the #Rodynske road, the industrial areas themselves and the trench systems even if looking the other way, but that line is the most solid one by far.

13/:thread:

As of now this is my best bet as to paraphrasing what the #Ukrainians’ strategy is, also considering new ditches and fortifications. I will follow the situation closely and make an updated thread when the situation will change significantly enough.

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It’d be interesting to know how they got to Mali given it’s landlocked.

The Germans never took Stalingrad.

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Porsche isn’t necessarily a glowing endorsement for AFV design.
After all, Ferdinand designed lemons like the Elefant and Panzer VIII Maus for the Nazis.

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Imagine a 105mm gun on a Cayenne though?

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The 105mm L7 gun used on the Leo1 is British Royal Ordnance-designed, German-built.

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It’s a rifled round isn’t it, rather than the smooth bore round the Leo 2 / Challenger 2 / Abrams?

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So you are saying it belongs on a Rangie or Disco?

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That is a lot of scrap metal for some merchant.

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RU has been supplying military hardware to a few different countries around Africa.

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Airlift most probably or less likely overland. (They are also sending kit to Libya)

Russian tanks and armored vehicles spotted in Mali

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