Assuming the 30% claim of the fleet is accurate, then you start with a 30% drop in the simultaneous launches that can be made.
Next, you are now using fewer aircraft more intensely, so reliability of those aircraft will decrease and maintenance will increase. Availability of the fleet will be reduced beyond the 30% reduction.
Next, the more missiles in the air, the harder it is to shoot down everything. Ukrainian air defence will score a higher % of intercepts as they won’t be as overwhelmed in each strike.
This is very fuzzy maths based off almost zero information, but the general impact will be favourable for Ukraine, but it won’t end the damage being inflicted.
In the red corner, weighing in at 95kgs is the master of drones, the defier in defence, the Russia crusher, The Unnndefeated Uuunited… Uuuukraine.
Aaaaand.
In the blue corner, weighing in at 220kgs, is the aggravation of nation, the shrill of kill, the indifferent to innocent, The Rrrrascally Wrrrrrecking… Rrrrussia.
Kellogg confirmed as cereal offender… Flakey bastard at best.
The Poms realising that their ‘minder’ has left them to fend for themselves.
Who’s got no cards to play?
…"Ukrainian defence journalist Illia Ponomarenko, posting on X, puts it another way, with a pointed reference to President Volodymyr Zelensky’s infamous Oval office encounter with Donald Trump.
"This is what happens when a proud nation under attack doesn’t listen to all those: ‘Ukraine has only six months left’. ‘You have no cards’. ‘Just surrender for peace, Russia cannot lose’.
Even more pithy was a tweet from the quarterly Business Ukraine journal, which proudly proclaimed “It turns out Ukraine does have some cards after all. Today Zelensky played the King of Drones.”"…
Ukraine’s audacious drone attack sends critical message to Russia - and the West
This attack is going to have some far reaching effects, on RU logistics. Big trucks are going to be viewed with suspicion and scrutinized closely from now on, with many road blocks to check on loads slowing down deliveries all over RU.
The world’s number one military concerned about the under-performance of the world’s number two military and how that under-perfomance relates to them.
That man Zelensky is earning “Superman” status. The bloke is a legend.
Zelensky arrives in Vilnius for Nato eastern flank summit
I’m assuming Russians don’t like Asian immigrants, but I’m surprised anyone would want to live in Russia let alone move there since you can be picked up and sent off to the grinder.