Relevant article, which has graphs and stuff. I thought it was quite interesting.
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■■■■ yeah, you had me at pictures and diagrams
We’d have to get our forwards one out to have any of those stats.
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I’ve got the weekly offensive one on one stats if you want them.
Cheers for that, very interesting article, especially the contested one on one stuff!
This point was interesting:
However, their aggressive ball use and inability to effectively move the ball out of defence has often left them exposed.
“It is a similar problem that Carlton faced last year, but one the Blues have largely fixed this year.”
I mentioned that earlier. The big difference being, their key defenders were still doing well in the one on ones. Liam Jones lead the league for the stat, and also for intercept marks, but probably won the reverse Coleman if such a thing was still counted.
Sure, post away.
The only numbers I’ve been able to work out is that our forwards have won 16 of 70 Contests this year.
I think that ABC article shows that since fitzRoy was put onto CRAN, doing all these analyses have become far easier. All the data is already scraped!
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Yep, I’ve used the fitzRoy package to teach myself some R. It’s a great resource.
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| round.name | Name | Offensive 1v1s | Off 1v1 wins | Off 1v1 win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Round 1 | Nik Cox | 1 | 1 | 100 |
| Round 1 | Peter Wright | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Round 1 | Sam Draper | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Round 1 | Matt Guelfi | 3 | 1 | 33.3 |
| Round 1 | Kaine Baldwin | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Round 2 | Devon Smith | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Round 2 | Aaron Francis | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Round 2 | Archie Perkins | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Round 2 | Jake Stringer | 2 | 1 | 50 |
| Round 2 | Peter Wright | 8 | 3 | 37.5 |
| Round 2 | Nik Cox | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Round 3 | Matt Guelfi | 1 | 1 | 100 |
| Round 3 | Jake Stringer | 3 | 2 | 66.7 |
| Round 3 | Archie Perkins | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Round 3 | Brayden Ham | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Round 3 | Peter Wright | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| Round 3 | Mason Redman | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Round 4 | Devon Smith | 1 | 1 | 100 |
| Round 4 | Andrew Phillips | 1 | 1 | 100 |
| Round 4 | Peter Wright | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Round 4 | Alec Waterman | 5 | 1 | 20 |
| Round 4 | Tex Wanganeen | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Round 4 | Matt Guelfi | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Round 4 | Sam Durham | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Round 4 | Sam Draper | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Round 5 | Nik Cox | 1 | 1 | 100 |
| Round 5 | Alec Waterman | 1 | 1 | 100 |
| Round 5 | Sam Draper | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Round 5 | Dyson Heppell | 1 | 1 | 100 |
| Round 5 | Andrew Phillips | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Round 5 | Matt Guelfi | 1 | 1 | 100 |
| Round 5 | Peter Wright | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| Round 5 | Devon Smith | 1 | 0 | 0 |
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Summarised for the season
| Row Labels | Offensive 1v1s | Off 1v1 wins |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Francis | 1 | 0 |
| Alec Waterman | 6 | 2 |
| Andrew Phillips | 2 | 1 |
| Archie Perkins | 3 | 0 |
| Brayden Ham | 3 | 0 |
| Devon Smith | 4 | 1 |
| Dyson Heppell | 1 | 1 |
| Jake Stringer | 5 | 3 |
| Kaine Baldwin | 5 | 0 |
| Mason Redman | 1 | 0 |
| Matt Guelfi | 6 | 3 |
| Nik Cox | 5 | 2 |
| Peter Wright | 31 | 3 |
| Sam Draper | 5 | 0 |
| Sam Durham | 2 | 0 |
| Tex Wanganeen | 1 | 0 |
**just deleted the % on this one as it was wrong and I don’t have time to fix it now.
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Just one more on that article above:
“No side has been worse at defending one-on-one contests than Essendon this year. In fact, the Bombers of early 2022 have lost one-on-ones at a rate and volume barely seen in the past decade.”
I haven’t done the full competition analysis, but I do have the stats for us going back to 2013. I orginally posted this in the stats nerd thread, but it’s more appropriate here.
EDIT: I have updated this to include the stats that @longs93GFgoal gave me. I now how Fletcher, bags, Gwilt, Steinberg… the lot. The newly added players are at the end of each years table.
For @dingus:
| 2022 | One on ones | Losses | Loss % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaydn Laverde | 29 | 9 | 31.0 |
| James Stewart | 12 | 5 | 41.7 |
| Jordan Ridley | 10 | 4 | 40.0 |
| Nick Hind | 1 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Dyson Heppell | 8 | 3 | 37.5 |
| Mason Redman | 4 | 1 | 25.0 |
| Jake Kelly | 21 | 9 | 42.9 |
| Brandon Zerk-Thatcher | 8 | 3 | 37.5 |
| 2021 | |||
| Jaydn Laverde | 75 | 18 | 24.0 |
| James Stewart | 63 | 22 | 34.9 |
| Jordan Ridley | 49 | 7 | 14.3 |
| Nick Hind | 25 | 4 | 16.0 |
| Dyson Heppell | 25 | 5 | 20.0 |
| Aaron Francis | 21 | 8 | 38.1 |
| Mason Redman | 21 | 7 | 33.3 |
| Matt Guelfi | 11 | 3 | 27.3 |
| Brandon Zerk-Thatcher | 9 | 1 | 11.1 |
| Zach Reid | 4 | 1 | 25.0 |
| Tom Cutler | 9 | 1 | 11.1 |
| 2020 | |||
| Michael Hurley | 44 | 15 | 34.1 |
| Jordan Ridley | 27 | 7 | 25.9 |
| Brandon Zerk-Thatcher | 27 | 11 | 40.7 |
| Aaron Francis | 23 | 8 | 34.8 |
| Marty Gleeson | 22 | 8 | 36.4 |
| Mason Redman | 20 | 8 | 40.0 |
| Adam Saad | 18 | 5 | 27.8 |
| 2019 | |||
| Michael Hurley | 58 | 18 | 31.0 |
| Cale Hooker | 55 | 14 | 25.5 |
| Patrick Ambrose | 51 | 7 | 13.7 |
| Adam Saad | 33 | 9 | 27.3 |
| Aaron Francis | 30 | 9 | 30.0 |
| Mason Redman | 25 | 14 | 56.0 |
| Marty Gleeson | 23 | 5 | 21.7 |
| Mark Baguley | 4 | 3 | 75.0 |
| Connor McKenna | 24 | 3 | 12.5 |
| Ben McNeice | 10 | 4 | 40.0 |
| 2018 | |||
| Michael Hurley | 76 | 21 | 27.6 |
| Cale Hooker | 71 | 16 | 22.5 |
| Patrick Ambrose | 25 | 9 | 36.0 |
| Michael Hartley | 22 | 4 | 18.2 |
| Adam Saad | 22 | 5 | 22.7 |
| Aaron francis | 14 | 3 | 21.4 |
| Connor McKenna | 18 | 6 | 33.3 |
| Ben McNeice | 6 | 2 | 33.3 |
| Mark Baguley | 13 | 5 | 38.5 |
| Matt Dea | 23 | 5 | 21.7 |
| 2017 | |||
| Michael Hartley | 84 | 22 | 26.2 |
| Michael Hurley | 74 | 26 | 35.1 |
| Marty Gleeson | 43 | 14 | 32.6 |
| Patrick Ambrose | 39 | 10 | 25.6 |
| Andy McGrath | 26 | 9 | 34.6 |
| Connor McKenna | 23 | 8 | 34.8 |
| Ben McNeice | 3 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Mark Baguley | 62 | 20 | 32.3 |
| James Kelly | 15 | 5 | 33.3 |
| Matt Dea | 21 | 6 | 28.6 |
| 2016 | |||
| Michael Hartley | 76 | 22 | 28.9 |
| Patrick Ambrose | 45 | 9 | 20.0 |
| Marty Gleeson | 31 | 8 | 25.8 |
| Tippa | 19 | 9 | 47.4 |
| James Kelly | 12 | 4 | 33.3 |
| Courtney Dempsey | 13 | 7 | 53.8 |
| Connor McKenna | 8 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Mark Baguley | 11 | 4 | 36.4 |
| James Gwilt | 32 | 10 | 31.3 |
| Matt Dea | 42 | 14 | 33.3 |
| 2015 | |||
| Michael Hurley | 67 | 13 | 19.4 |
| Cale Hooker | 56 | 13 | 23.2 |
| Michael Hibberd | 31 | 9 | 29.0 |
| Marty Gleeson | 27 | 8 | 29.6 |
| Jake Carlisle | 19 | 5 | 26.3 |
| Dustin Fletcher | 21 | 4 | 19.0 |
| Mark Baguley | 55 | 11 | 20.0 |
| Ariel Steinberg | 22 | 10 | 45.5 |
| James Gwilt | 33 | 9 | 27.3 |
| Jason Ashby | 7 | 3 | 42.9 |
| 2014 | |||
| Cale Hooker | 78 | 20 | 25.6 |
| Michael Hurley | 59 | 19 | 32.2 |
| Michael Hibberd | 40 | 11 | 27.5 |
| Dustin Fletcher | 37 | 6 | 16.2 |
| Tayte Pears | 5 | 2 | 40.0 |
| Mark Baguley | 39 | 8 | 20.5 |
| Ariel Steinberg | 9 | 2 | 22.2 |
| Courtney Dempsey | 17 | 5 | 29.4 |
| 2013 | |||
| Jake Carlisle | 79 | 21 | 26.6 |
| Cale Hooker | 61 | 18 | 29.5 |
| Michael Hibberd | 41 | 7 | 17.1 |
| Michael Hurley | 10 | 3 | 30.0 |
| Dustin Fletcher | 33 | 11 | 33.3 |
| Tayte Pears | 28 | 12 | 42.9 |
| Mark Baguley | 41 | 13 | 31.7 |
| Courtney Dempsey | 6 | 1 | 16.7 |
So no, we’ve never seen numbers this bad, not even in 2015.
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These are awesome, where did you get this?
Paddy Ambrose was the man.
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Using the fitzRoy package on R to get them but they come from the AFL website (although the offensive contests don’t appear to be visible on the site?).
You can also download the Fryzigg data at the link in the tweet below which lists stats for VFL/AFL players game by game in a CSV file including the def/off 1v1 stats from whenever they started recording them. Be warned, it’s a pretty big file.
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No they are not.
I had read about this fitzRoy thing, but I thought is was just pulling stuff off Footywire and AFL Tables, so none of the champion data contested stuff.
I’ll make a life decision soon as to whether I go down this rabbit hole or not.
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Damn straight.
And Harts was underrated.
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I might leave the offensive stats to you 
Updates after every game, please.
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If a free is paid against in a 1:1 - assume this would show as a loss @Paul_Peos?
If so, bonus points if there’s any correlation between the bad results for this year and higher than usual frees against.
Having said that, can’t imagine the umpires would have such an impact on the results.
PS - absolutely stellar work in this thread. It’s these threads and analysis that make Blitz so awesome.
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Yeah, I believe so, as it leads to the opponent having a possession.