I think the Tigers are getable if they start a mini-preseason to prepare for their finals campaign. You often see the top sides playing sluggish in the final rounds, best time of the year to hit such a team.
Yep, spot on.
Brendan Lade said yesterday that they expect to lose Ryder for between 2-6 weeks.
With this draw, it’s possible that they only win 1 more (WB in Ballarat) between now and the last round.
With the Tiges, if they can defeat Coll and Gee in the next month, they will most likely have a 2 game break, plus a swag of percentage on the 3rd placed team, leading into the 2nd last round (our game).
That might give us a sneaky chance of catching them 10% off their game.
Yep, it’s a risk, but we’ll back ourselves in to win as many as Adelaide and squeeze pass their percentage.
I just think their wins may create a spot or 2 in front of us, and we might need that, even though it will mean the Crows are right there with us.
The key to getting in with 13 wins, is that as many teams as possible remain vulnerable from achieving that magical 13 win mark !
Hawks may have just lost Sicily who’d have played on Stringer and has been vital to launching their attacks. On top of McEvoy and Rioli in recent weeks. I don’t think they travelling that well.
We will get Zaka back by then
Swans have lost multiple senior players also recently. And their main ruck missing as well.
Cats outside run and pace caused them so much trouble and it’s our strength.
My mad spreadsheet says we can make it with 13 wins under quite a few different scenarios. Most of them have us overtaking Adelaide, North and Hawthorn. From there we need one of Geelong, Melbourne or GWS to drop a couple of their 50/50 games.
This week’s Geelong v Melbourne game (at GMHBA) is huge for us. If Geelong win, they are probably safe. Having said that, a Geelong win is probably our best result as it makes Melbourne very vulnerable given their run home.