While I think that post was unnecessarily negative, I am starting to think GC inflicting a record loss on Geelong is looking less likely, and we might struggle to make finals from here.
EDIT: I’ve found a slightly more likely alternative (still involves 3 matches being decided by > 20 goals):
Clutching at straws still, but a slightly more feasible scenario is the Demons being blown out of the water by the Eagles and the Giants and us blowing Port out of the water so we could push those undeserving Dees out on percentage:
To show how close things have been this year I have borrowed this post from the PA make Kochie cry thread:
Yes, I tried the same thing, it is also around the margin, a 46 point win by us which would give us the same number of wins and percentage as we had last year and finished 7th.
Ironically this time Melbourne will get to glide into the 8 on percentage even if they lose their last 3 matches for the year and have beaten no one in the 8, where we can still finish level on games with them, having beaten 4 of the top 8 and maybe 2 of the top 4 and finishing between 9th and 12th.
To show what a strange season it is, Swans will make the top 4 if they beat the Hawks at the SCG next week and two days ago we were talking about us slipping in ahead of them on percentage into the 8.
A crazy year where a poor game or simply how the AFL have rigged the draft can completely change the outcome.
Despite one overly optimistic post above the most recent one prior to this will tell you I agree, it’s not happening.
But after having being rubbished for setting up this thread in the first place, 1605 posts later, it has been fun to dream, and we came a lot closer than anyone would have thought when I started it back in June after we beat the Eagles away.
I give bltn a lot of credit for the above post, was pretty spot on, was the first post (number 10 back on June 25) to really look at where we stood with the run home.
I was more convinced we needed 14 wins to make it.
Indeed! Have loved following and participating in this thread. Shame it’s not got a week to run but it has been a pleasant surprise we’ve been able to take it this deep into the season after our poor start.
We’ve been only a game out of the 8 for basically the last 5-6 weeks. If you don’t have fun speculating about us maybe making the 8 when we’re only 1 game out, then honestly, why even follow football?
