Ants
October 22, 2025, 5:41am
638
whereswalla:
I think it’s way more likely that GC will come knocking for our picks in the 20s. We should be getting their pick 15 and maybe 36 (might have to give them our f4) to protect us for Sweid. Then we should have 5,6,15 and 36.
Below is a post I made on Big Footy. It really depends on how early WCE bid, but if they bid early then Gold Coast couldn’t afford to give us #36 as part of a #15 trade. Although ironically they’d really need the trade.
I’m hoping WCE would like Patterson alongside Durrsma.
Noting that if the below transpired, our #30 would move up a net 6 spots to #24 .
So, with trade week gone, Gold Coast and WCE are in an interesting position. I’m not sure if Gold Coast has enough list spots to trigger all their picks, but assuming they do they have 3,773 points. If WCE bid on Uwland and Patterson at #1 and #2 , then they would have nowhere near enough points (4,933 required). They could do a few trades with North and Essendon to acquire a few extra, but even then would probably need to use their 2026 first. Except they don’t have one. I’m not sure exactly what happens, but if they need to trigger their future 2nd then that would only add 317 points, and a future third would be meaningless.
Unless it triggers off their 2027 first (836 points), its interesting to test whether they can match even after doing trades with North and Essendon. The 1,160 point deficit would be 843 before trades (adjusting for 2026 second). Would North/Essendon give up enough points? If they traded #15 for #21 and #27 , and #18 for #25 and #26 , they’re still 247 points short.
Now, if they did those trades the Uwland bid would wipe out five picks, moving later picks up and giving them 300 extra left over points. I think, including their 2026 second, they can just match Patterson at #2 . However, that assumes they have at least six list spots to trigger the six highest picks they currently have, that they can get those deals with Essendon & North done, and that they want Patterson if it means not taking any later academy players and also sacrificing a 2026 second. None of those might hold true.
So, if WCE wants Patterson alongside Duursma, they may very well be able to get him.
If they bid and Gold Coast do match, it still isn’t bad for WCE. It is likely they would move their pick #34 up 5 picks and #41 by 6 picks. Bidding at #3 on Annable would move their pick up a further (assuming no Brisbane trades) spot. So bidding early could be seen as win win, as long as Patterson is someone they rate worthy of their second pick.
It will be interesting to see what WCE do.
6 Likes