Brendan Rhodes’ preview (pre-teams). He also picks Pies to beat Port, and Willy to beat FCFC.
Yes, he got the April 2021 score wrong. A lot of sources did.
SECOND ELIMINATION FINAL:
BOX HILL HAWKS vs ESSENDON
Saturday July 8, 11:00am, Box Hill City Oval
Head-to-head: Essendon 4-3-2. At Box Hill City Oval: Essendon 2-1-1. Streak: Essendon 4 and 2 draws from past six meetings
THIS SEASON
Round 1 at NEC Hangar
ESSENDON 1.1, 3.2, 3.2, 4.3 (27)
BOX HILL HAWKS 1.1, 1.3, 2.7, 3.9 (27)
Goals: ESSENDON: Z. Hurrell, C. Sargent, R. Tierney, M. Wilson. BOX HILL HAWKS: M. Boyd 3.
Disposals: ESSENDON: R. Tierney 21, C. Ugle 18, B. Clarke 17, T. Crook, Z. Hurrell, A. Morcom, R. Sutton 14. BOX HILL HAWKS: N. Garner, J. Mifsud 23, M. Boyd, C. Hammans, G. McRae 17.
Coaches Votes: ESSENDON: C. Ugle 6, B. Clarke 3, R. Tierney 2, T. Crook 1. BOX HILL HAWKS: M. Boyd 9, J. Mifsud 6, N. Garner 3.
Round 8 at Box Hill City Oval
BOX HILL HAWKS 1.2, 1.3, 1.5, 1.9 (15)
ESSENDON 2.0, 3.2, 4.3, 5.3 (33)
Goals: ESSENDON: O. Manfre 2, M. Clifford, A. Radford, P. Scott. BOX HILL HAWKS: A. Pisano.
Disposals: ESSENDON: A. Radford 29, G. Clarke 19, S. Wales 17, S. Molan, S. van de Heuvel 16. BOX HILL HAWKS: J. Mifsud 22, L. Stone, M. van Berkel 17, G. McRae 14, A. McDonagh 13.
Coaches Votes: ESSENDON: A. Radford 10, S. Wales 6, S. van de Heuvel 1. BOX HILL HAWKS: J. Mifsud, M. van Berkel 4, L. Stone 3, G. McRae 2.
PREVIOUS FIVE HEAD-TO-HEAD
June 11, 2022: Essendon 8.12 60 def Hawthorn 1.1 7 (Qualifying Final, Windy Hill)
May 15, 2022: Hawthorn 4.7 31 drew Essendon 4.7 31 (Box Hill City Oval)
April 10, 2021: Essendon 4.5 29 def Hawthorn 1.10 16 (Box Hill City Oval)
March 13, 2021: Essendon 8.7 55 def Hawthorn 3.9 27 (NEC Hangar)
June 15, 2019: Hawthorn 8.8 56 def Essendon 3.2 20 (Windy Hill)
PAST FIVE MATCHES - BOX HILL HAWKS
R14: 3.3 21 def Southern Saints 0.4 4 (Box Hill City Oval)
R13: 6.6 42 def Casey Demons 2.3 15 (Casey Fields)
R12: 3.9 27 drew Geelong 4.3 27 (Deakin University)
R11: 3.8 26 lost to Williamstown 4.5 29 (Box Hill City Oval)
R10: 5.3 33 def North Melbourne 1.5 11 (Arden St)
PAST FIVE MATCHES - ESSENDON
R14: 6.5 41 def Western Bulldogs 4.4 28 (Windy Hill)
R13: 3.1 19 lost to Port Melbourne 3.4 22 (ETU Stadium)
R12: 4.6 30 def Casey Demons 3.7 25 (Casey Fields)
R11: 5.7 37 lost to North Melbourne 6.9 45 (NEC Hangar)
R10: 6.6 42 def Darebin 1.2 8 (La Trobe University)
SUMMARY
These two teams have put on some terrific contests in the past couple of years and have probably been the best two on paper. However, the Hawks’ wastefulness in attack has been a factor in them not beating the Bombers in their past six meetings (3.9, 1.9, 1.1, 4.7, 1.10, 3.9). It also cost them six premiership points in Rounds 11 and 12 and the double chance. It doesn’t make pretty reading and if they repeat that profligacy they won’t be playing in the semi-finals. The Bombers have been unconvincing in the past month, including needing a late rally to overcome the Bulldogs to secure their finals spot last week. They will also need to play better to keep their premiership defence alive. It’s anybody’s game.
EARLY PREDICTION
Essendon by 4