Ok. So we’ve travelled 5 times already and are currently third on the ladder, with key injuries to:
Draper
Redman
Parish
Duursma
Hobbs
Reid
…which I reckon about 95% of Blitz had in their best 23 at the start of the year. So that’s a quarter of our best side out atm.
We also missed Ridley for the first 10 weeks, Setterfield similar, Baldwin & Reid have been non-factors, Wright copped his 4 week ban, with others like Guelfi, Perkins, Menzie, Caddy & yes even Shiel all missing footy as well.
Looking back at people’s pre-season predictions, and then factoring in that sort of player unavailability, the amount of travel we’ve had, the revenge performances against sides like GWS & Collingwood, the consistency of effort (bar one game), it’s clear that we’ve improved - whether people are capable of seeing that fresh after a loss to FC is another thing.
IMO this side (or something close enough to it) is a very solid team that is absolutely capable of winning in finals:
B: Ridley McKay McGrath
HB: Redman Reid Martin
C: Duursma Merrett Cox
HF: Perkins Langford Gresham
F: Guelfi Wright Stringer
R: Draper Durham Parish
I/C: Goldstein Caldwell Setterfield Heppell
Sub: Hobbs
Emg/depth from: Laverde Hind Jones Kelly Menzie Caddy Bryan Shiel Tsatas Baldwin A.Davey etc
IMO, the biggest thing holding us back (outside of a terrible VFL program) is once again our inability to keep our players on the park. Yes, I know that injuries are up competition-wide atm, but this has been an ongoing issue for us for years and years now.
We’re clearly still in need of some more top end talent, particularly forward of centre (hi @stengle), and our ball use going I50 continues to be an area that needs work, so no I’m not at all saying that we’re suddenly a top 4 quality side.
But opposition teams have to play really well in order to beat us, which hasn’t been the case for a long while.
We also still have a truckload of cash in our cap, along with all of our top end draft picks for this year, so we’ve still got the main assets we need to keep improving the list.
If we’re still missing a quarter of our best team - along with much of our depth - in the second half of the season, then yeah we’ll struggle to keep winning games against stronger opposition. So it could very well all still come crashing down, given the lack of faith I have in our medical team.
Keep more of our key players on the park, maintain the pressure & intensity that we’ve brought in the first half of the year, and tidy up our ball movement forward of centre. If we can tick those boxes, we may just win our first final in forever.
Ultimately, like most other clubs, our fortunes will come down to the health of the list - the comp is wildly even atm, it’s not so much who you play, it’s when you play them.