Take care, the roads will be atrocious on Thursday.
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Dartmouth will be spilling for a while yet.
Could look pretty impressive come the weekend.
Still not 1996 impressive though. Expect more gates on Hume Weir to be opened as well, currently at 7 (as of the weekend anyway).
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Screenshot from a short vid I found on the socials. It’s an increase on last week. This week’s rain could really get it humming.
For context, this is what ~7k ML/day looks like, in 1996 the spill peaked at ~19k ML/day…
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My wife is a community nurse and has been told not to drive on Thursday…
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And so it begins.
Very wet this morning. Looks like plenty to come from the north.
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Come in heavier than I expected earlier than I expected.
Apparently AXS-c looking pretty grim this morning.
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Journeyed into the office today, thankfully via PT. I say that crossing my fingers that the network isn’t drowned by 5PM!
In office today.
WFH gutter watch and act tomorrow I reckon!
Should be fine today, tonight or tomorrow morning is the concern. Flash flooding of rail corridors (along with road and everything else) when the fall rates peak tonight is a real possibility.
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Thursday evening looking like the really wet period for Melbourne.
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If they get 100 mm in the Eildon catchment (not realistic across the whole catchment, but just hypothetically):
That’s up to an unlikely but vaguely possible approx 400k ML falling as rain in the event.
They’re currently about 75k ML below FSL having fought that down over 2 weeks from 99+%.
Coefficient of runoff will be as high as it’s just about ever been.
The max rate they are prepared to let out is 13k ML/day, and they have 7-8k ML inflow before this rain event.
If the max rain falls there could be some serious lower Goulburn flooding. They must be nervous.
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Getting ready on the banks of the Campaspe River
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Looks like the rain has set in now over metro Melbourne, hopefully it’s less than anticipated for all those people in genuine flood danger
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Where is this rain?
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Everywhere. All day.
Reports that the Goulbourn is over it’s banks around Seymour, ~80mm of rain since 9am yesterday will do that.
It ain’t stopping all day, the crescendo is just crossing SA now.
Can confirm, has rained all night and is still going strong in Croydon.