watching this 4 corners episode about the criminals involved in the anti semetic attacks , only confirms my ideas at the time that I didn’t believe this to be an organic rise in antisemetism .
It also make me even more sure and more angry over how the liberals tried to pin this all directly on albanese .
the liberals were the ones whipping up fear and pointing the finger , they effectively exploited the fear of Jewish communities for cheap political point scoring.
Jewish communities should be looking at this and looking at the liberal party very closely
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I watched the opening seconds to see what the topic was. Main thing I took from it that the word ■■■■ is more serious than arson.
(And Discourse agrees with that.)
Result in Flinders “could take weeks”
It is believed there has been no new counting at the Australian Electoral Commission for the seat of Flinders today. Instead, The Newsunderstands that they are conducting a numbers of “samples” down to two-candidate-preferred, and will then likely conduct preference allocations on a three-candidate-preferred basis to see if they can distinguish between Labor’s Sarah Race and independent Ben Smith.
The race is very close, despite the Liberal Party’s Zoe McKenzie polling a much higher primary vote than the next two candidates. The real delay is being caused by the AEC’s inability to determine the second run candidate after McKenzie, with only a handful off votes between Race and Smith.
What is now being worked through is known at the AEC as a “complex count scenario”.
Usually elections are fairly straight forward. To streamline the process (mostly for the satisfaction of the television viewer at home) the AEC pre-determines who they believe will be the two highest polling candidates. They then provide data of the indicative two-candidate-preferred results to keep people well informed of the likely outcome as quickly as possible.
In Flinders, there was a problem. McKenzie and Race were selected by the AEC as the two-party-preferred candidates, but during the night a third candidate, Smith, was polling higher than Race. This caused the AEC to abandon its two-party-preferred reporting for McKenzie and Race.
Now there was a strong polling first candidate in McKenzie, and a neck-and-neck scenario for second between Smith and Race.
The solution, although time consuming, is instead of running the planned two-candidate-preferred contest, the AEC runs a three-candidate-preferred contest. And that is what it appears will be undertaken in the electorate of Flinders.
The process involves sorting votes into piles for three candidates instead of two.
Like the two-candidate-preferred count, ballot papers go into the pile based on who received the highest preference. In practice, this means we set aside ballot papers with first preferences for the three leading candidates, then the AEC takes the ballot papers with first preferences for the remaining candidates and allocate each ballot paper to one of the three leading candidates based on the second preference on that ballot paper (or the next preference available for one of the three candidates). Then they tally up how many votes each of the three candidates have to understand who the likely winner will be, and who the top two candidates will be.
Once the two leading candidates are determined the legislated two-candidate-preferred count will be conducted, which as always is followed by the full distribution of preferences.
This scenario occurred for two seats in the 2022 federal election; Brisbane (Queensland) and Macnamara (Victoria). In Brisbane the scenario was very similar to what we now see in Flinders. One candidate received 37 per cent of the primary votes, however the next two candidates received an almost identical number of primary votes – their totals only differed by 11 votes. A three-candidate-preferred count was required to determine which of the other two would be excluded from the count first, with that candidate’s votes then being distributed into a traditional two-candidate-preferred count.
Of course, with the unknown of where other candidate’s preferences will go, we still have a long road to travel to find out who will be the next Member for Flinders.
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There is a large amount of commercial office space newly built (last 10 years) and under further development in Notting Hill and Mount Waverley, just north of the new Monash station. The transport is needed to service that as well as the Uni, and link it back to existing transport links like the heavy rail at Clayton and Glen Waverley.
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The voter base will move from wanting to buy a house to being forever renters.
And then pushing better policies around tenant rights. more left wing socialist type.
policies like rent increase limits
longer contracts, harder to evict tenants, increasing land tax like victoria etc.
I’m not arguing it wouldn’t be a great addition. I just think with the time and money this project is going to take. There must be literally 100’s of better bang for buck projects.
Will never happen as they know it won’t be enforceable.
Not sure it would have to be enforceable. It’s the vibe. Look at vaping laws, environmental protections, etc
Cheers, that explains a lot.
I suspect Zoe will scrape in but one thing for sure, Flinders is no longer a safe liberal seat which is a good thing.
Maybe she will actually have to do something down here.
On a side note, the far right rednecks are losing their ■■■■ on the noticeboards. Baiting them is my new hobby.
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I tend to agree on the timeline, but it’s needed so we might as well start now. The money also is a lot and I’m sure costs could be saved somewhere for sure, but it’s also worth remembering Sydney’s own metro project is currently at $45B, and Melbourne is going to end up a bigger city. That never gets written about in the media though
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The Liberal Party is the England cricket team after a tour of Australia. Melting. Pointing of fingers. Tearing themselves apart. Complete mental disintegration.
It’s quite mesmerising…
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So you’re saying the Libs will get it all together for 2 years time on their home deck?
no chance.
I haven’t seen the noticeboards but good on you - give them heaps.
Thanks to commodities tailwinds 
Libs need to widen their consultative base in developing their policies. ATM their policies get shaped by business and right wing think tanks like IPA, the cashed up Advance Australia ( the source of much of Lib funding). The Young Libs are not representative of young voters.
There was an arrogance in thinking they could win over the tradies and others in the western suburbs with cost of living and mortgage stress. Their opposition to programs for assistance in higher education was an own goal.
The Nats have performed so much better. The infrastructure of agricultural industry peak and regional bodies is a conduit to the actual producers and other voters involved in agribusiness. Their setback is the value they place on the mining industry and antagonism to the environment/climate change.
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like the Harmison wide on the opening ball
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I think the coalition strategy of targeting “mortgage belt” seats was a good one.
I think the execution could not have been any worse if they tried.
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