I don’t think disenfranchised Liberal voters are parking at ON because they think ON will be a government party for them. I think ON broadly talks to their concerns regarding policy direction on cost of living and falling living standards and how the current government and the Liberal opposition don’t appear to meaningfully listen to their concerns and address their needs in these areas.
I don’t think they rate any policies ON has, I don’t think they have any detailed policies in these areas. I think ON just talk about these areas and how the big parties are not listening to their concerns concerns if those who’re suffering in a cost of living spiral and how the immigration and energy policies (for example) are not translating to improved standards of living.
It’s up to a Coalition and Liberal party that finally addresses these concerns with a proper policy platform before they come back imo..
The other is they are now chasing an ever decreasing (i.e., dying off) demographic with that approach, so while they might get votes back off ON, they just keep losing Gen Y and younger (the demographic who will increasingly decide elections) to the ALP.
The portents for Australian politics and the party system are clear. Politicians and political parties cannot halt the steady march of cohorts over the life course nor the age structure of the electorate. But they can control the content of their policies and messaging, their reactions to global events and surprises. Unchecked, the current levels and trajectories of party support revealed here point to Labor dominating Federal politics for the foreseeable future.
That said - this all doesn’t occur in a vacuum. What Gen Y and younger want over time may not adhere to the current trajectory. None of this is set in stone.
Surveys I have seen actually show the new One Nation voters are coming from Liberals, Nationals and Labor. Most are middle aged white racists and bigots. Two of my country cousins fit into this, with warped views around immigration and indigenous peoples.
Not usually an economic argument at all and few know any policy positions of One Nation except for Hansens well known racism and bigotry. My cousins are rednecks but they have wealth and own their own home.
If LNP people are voting One Nation it’s because they harbour sympathies with that party’s core premise, which is a fundamentally racist one, a xenophobic one, and a regressive one. It speaks to their secret desires and when Howard adopted Pauline rather than condemning her to the wastes it helped him enormously with his base and growing it, so it no surprise. Any talk of ‘protest votes’ is specious and utterly disingenuous. LNP has been the party for people of a certain nature for decades, One Nation has been gifted legitimacy by the LNP for decades and is now large, stable and ‘respectable’ enough to go whole hog on. Especially in electorates where they look a winning chance. Anything but the neo liberal ALP, farking geniuses.
Policies that deliver reduction in cost of living.
Temporary reduction of total overseas migration numbers until housing supply increases to balance demand and supply (address housing affordability). Policy change needs to consider necessary intake of required skills like healthcare, aged services etc. Policy adjustment to also ease pressure on essential service like health, transport etc
Address energy policies to bring downward pressure on sky rocketing power and energy prices that is threatening small businesses, manufacturing industry and maintaining current higher than expected inflation which is resulting in higher interest rates and lower standard of living
Small business and trades are the bread and butter employment areas of this demographic and costs of doing business and input price growth is making running small businesses very stressful for tradies.
If it’s Gen X white males supporting One Nation ( polling at 25%), I’d argue this cohort is the least impacted by cost of living. They have raised families, brought houses and investment properties before they got ridiculously expensive and still working in the workforce and generally had it pretty good in the workforce, when being white and male was a significant leg up 30-20 years ago when this group was starting their career.
There aren’t voting for One Nation because they are feeling poor.
we could stop all immigration tomorrow, and deport 2 million people on friday, and there would be zero impact on housing prices on any time scale you want.
the only actual solutions to housing affordability involve the cost of already-built properties going down by a significant amount, which property owners (ie: voters) will not accept under any circumstances. as such, there is no solution, and instead it’s an issue that just gets used to make whatever other points anyone feels like making whether that’s boomer bashing or otherwise.
i also don’t see how a “more coal power” policy would work when the private sector has been actively transitioning away from coal power for some times now. is the intention to build new (or reactivate old) coal power stations as state-owned-and-operated assets?
so last election the liberals rolled their dice and went all in on nuclear . it was an utterly ridiculous policy that flys in the face of what they are complaining about now which is the cost of renewables and energy bills . The coalition has zero credibility on energy and climate , that’s the only reason why they are losing so many city seats , so what was their solution? , go even harder into the direction that saw them get spanked at the last election .
they are not even close to a credible opposition in let alone getting back into government . they may as well be one one nation . they are now openly panerdering to the same racist morons as one nation
If you’re Gen X and for whatever reason you hadn’t put together a nest egg, owned your home etc over the past decades for whatever reason, you’re in a tough spot to be fair and you’d definitely not be feeling rich. Staring down the barrel of retiring (or getting made redundant in your 50s and your job going overseas) and then surviving the rest of your days on the pension while rents skyrocket and everything gets more unaffordable. But ON is routinely polling at 15% at the moment, and there just aren’t that many gen X males out there. It’s a broader phenomenon than that.
Of course, if you want to vote against the status quo there’s all sorts of other options than One Nation. Choosing to support the party that was founded as ‘the racist party’ and has lasted 30 years as the party for racists, and still reliably takes the most racist view possible on any given issue isn’t something you do by accident. Hanson has been in the public eye since the Howard government, everyone knows what she is now and there’s nobody who can claim ignorance.
Any chance this is the last we hear of this idiot? Any chance whoever is funding this nonsense finally realises they’re backing a loser and throw in the towel?
