Coal is expected to be fully removed from the Australian energy grid by about 2035. Sure, today EVs are charged off coal, but that mix is changing rapidly. I’d like it to be faster, but you can’t magic this infrastructure into existence instantly.
I am furious with the Liberal party for their economic sabotage of deliberate inaction over the last decade. So much more could have been done and at a far lower cost than what they’ve forced us to do by last minute rush.
That’s the plan in Australia. I’m not confident that self interests won’t partially sabotage or delay the plan, but we will get there eventually even though a bit late. F@(&!ng liberal governments.
It’s many of the other countries and the lack of planning in addressing other greenhouse gas causes that I’m most concerned with though. US policy is not net zero for example. They are looking at decreasing greenhouse outputs to ~1/3rd current levels.
When cost of living is tops on the domestic political agenda of Australia and a number of European countries, climate change is less a vote winner. The Ukraine War has also disrupted renewables progress.
0 net emissions by 2050 is impossible unless we invent some other super efficient renewable energy source…or people just stop whinging and use nuclear.
There hasn’t been a single nuclear reactor anywhere in the western world that’s been built over the last 20-30 years that came in on time and on budget. Pretty much every build is 10+ years behind and a 100% cost overrun is pretty standard.
And that’s for countries that have an existing nuclear industry with the appropriately trained and experienced nuclear technicians, engineers and an extraordinarily important skillset that shouldn’t be overlooked in Australia, nuclear welders. You’re talking 10 years to put people through university or trade qualifications and send them for multi year placements overseas to actually get good at their job before we’d have the nucleus of a skilled workforce.
The first nuclear power plant that we build in Australia will be an absolute shitshow to put it mildly. I cannot stress how bad that project would be. Think Snowy 2 or Vic Desal, but multiply the budget by 5-10x and instead of water the quality needs to contain a nuclear reaction… I’d love to be involved in the technical aspects of the build, but practically it would be a ■■■■■■■■■■■ of the highest order.
Then there’s social licence, which is the main thing that’s slowing down renewables. If we are struggling to get a transmission line or a wind farm signed off by locals, how on earth are we going to get a nuclear reactor site approved? It will get stuck in the court system for a decade alone.
Oh, and every single state has local legislation banning nuclear power. That can’t be overturned by the Feds, so even if the Federal Liberals had a policy for nuclear energy not a single state Lib has voted in favour of any measures. So that’s a dead end.
So what we are talking about is paying $40-50B for a reactor that might do 5-10% of the demand on a timeline of 15-20 years… it’s a batshit crazy idea for Australia. To fully run Australia on nuclear would cost 5-10x more than renewables and take much much longer.
The only reason this policy is being pushed in Australia is to delay change. The Libs know this will not get off the ground, but it undercuts all other renewables projects while the nuclear fantasy is falsely put forward as an option.
So the answer is that yes we could build it, no it wouldn’t be quicker and no it wouldn’t be cheaper.