COVID-19 Round 17 - get vaxed, get waxed, get ready to climax

Schools are not going to stay open.

They’re closing in Singapore at the moment (after opening a little while ago) and they are at 80% full vaxxed of the whole population.

The in person school year is done. We will try reopening, but schools will become exposure sites, they will start dropping like flies and then we’ll just go back to home learning for the rest of the year. Book it.

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The reason primary schools in Singapore are closed at the moment is because there is national exams for the end of primary school (Primary 6) kids.

The govt was concerned about them being potentially impacted from doing the exams by COVID so closed schools a week before the exams started.

The exams have just finished and govt is mulling whether to reopen or keep them closed. Would not surprise me if primary schools are reopened again soon.

Note that sec schools are still open. My son’s school has had 4 cases recently (students themselves) and closed for a week but is resuming again today.

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I want off this roller coaster.

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300 less than yesterday.

At this rate we will be Covid zero by Monday!

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NEW RECORD.

For tests, a couple hundred more than the past Saturday and Sunday.

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Screen Shot 2021-10-06 at 9.33.27 am

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Bloody Dan using this as an opportunity to expose Spidey

spoil sport. yesterday uncle chop chop promised days of over 2000!!

Billington’s Reff drops to 1.37, but still predicting peak days over 3,000/day

The CHO confirmed late last week or over the weekend that school closures won’t be the automatic in the event of exposure. Rather specific classes and cohorts within the school, vaccination dependent, will be isolated. It might be a bumpy 6 weeks or so but they’re gonna try to do everything possible to get to the end the year.

It’s worth noting that Singapore’s 80% total population represents about 90% of their eligible age groups, 12y/o+, which it’s very similar to what we’re going to achieve by late November or early December.

As of Oct 5th, 0.1% of their ~40k cases over the last month required ICU admission with about ~1500 in hospital. The healthcare situation is reasonably stable. 98% of infections were mild or asymptomatic.

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Bit more interesting than where I got my jab

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ouch. I dont want over 2000…really… let alone 3000.

Be quiet you guys.

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How are you gonna feel when it’s multiple 1000’s and we’re open?

Fixed.

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I’ll be lovin’ it.

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Very few countries, even at high vax levels, can achieve death rates better than 1:1M/day. So we’ll likely be having 5 to 6 dying each day from COVID early next year in Victoria.

If the Merek drug can pull that down to 2 to 3 a day, while not a “good” outcome, it is going to be unlikely we’ll do better than that.

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Nah, that will be a good outcome…

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How many does pneumonia get each day?

It won’t be a good outcome, but it will be I’ll take it outcome.