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In December 2018 Netanyahu referred to the discovery of four Hezbollah tunnels leading to the Israel border, which he said at least some of them had been confirmed by UN monitors.
In December 2018 he referred the matter to the UNSC and requested that the UN designate Hezbollah as a terrorist organisation in its entirety.

At the 10 October 2024 UNSC briefing meeting ( the latest session on the public record) the Israel Ambassador noted the IDF discovery of Hezbollah tunnels.
A journalist at the 14 October UNSG briefing referred to a tunnel that had been built over months or years near a UNIFIL building.
IDF briefing of press on site of a tunnel has been circulating as a vid on some online MSM.
The UNSC was to meet again on 14 October, but so far no reporting. Some sessions have been closed, no public access to records

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How many more?

From the article:

“Sean “Diddy” Combs has been accused of raping a woman as “payback” for suggesting he was involved in the murder of Tupac Shakur.”

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There were reports of bunker buster bombs used by Israel to take out that Hezbollah leader in Beirut. Maybe of a different type?

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yes, Israel doesn’t have any aircraft that can carry such a weapon as far as I know.

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Israel has F-15s which can carry quite large bunker busting bombs, but the B-2 can carry much much larger ordinance that can do far bigger things.

If Israel did want to hit Iran’s nuclear bunkers, they would need to drop sequential bombs to dig down enough. The US could probably do it with one or two hits. That sort of strike is realistically beyond what Israel has the aircraft and refuelling fleet to pull off.

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US DOD statement on their strike on Houthi bunkers with the B-2 stealth bomber. Not hard to read between the lines for a very unsubtle threat towards the Iranian underground nuclear weapons sites. Of note is that there are a grand total of 19 of these bombs in existence.

“Today, U.S. military forces, including U.S. Air Force B-2 bombers, conducted precision strikes against five hardened underground weapons storage locations in Houthi-controlled areas of Yemen. U.S. forces targeted several of the Houthis’ underground facilities housing various weapons components of types that the Houthis have used to target civilian and military vessels throughout the region. This was a unique demonstration of the United States’ ability to target facilities that our adversaries seek to keep out of reach, no matter how deeply buried underground, hardened, or fortified. The employment of U.S. Air Force B-2 Spirit long-range stealth bombers demonstrate U.S. global strike capabilities to take action against these targets when necessary, anytime, anywhere.

For over a year, the Iran-backed Houthis, Specially Designated Global Terrorists, have recklessly and unlawfully attacked U.S. and international vessels transiting the Red Sea, the Bab Al-Mandeb Strait, and the Gulf of Aden. The Houthis’ illegal attacks continue to disrupt the free flow of international commerce, threaten environmental catastrophe, and put innocent civilian lives and U.S. and partner forces’ lives at risk. At the direction of President Biden, I authorized these targeted strikes to further degrade the Houthis’ capability to continue their destabilizing behavior and to protect and defend U.S. forces and personnel in one of the world’s most critical waterways.

Again, the United States will not hesitate to take action to defend American lives and assets; to deter attacks against civilians and our regional partners; and to protect freedom of navigation and increase the safety and security in these waterways for U.S., coalition, and merchant vessels. We will continue to make clear to the Houthis that there will be consequences for their illegal and reckless attacks. I am grateful for the professionalism and skill of the brave American troops who took part in today’s actions and who continue to stand guard in defense of our Nation.

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The CENTCOM statement ( up on the US Mission to Yemen site) has a slightly different cast, while referencing Iran backed Houthis, less about US specific interests and IIRC, no reference to acting on the authority of the US President.
It also refers to US capacity for precision targeting and notes initial information that there were no civilian casualties.

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The German Armed Forces have issued a statement (confirmed by the Foreign Office) that a German corvette, deployed as part of Germany’s UNIFIL contribution., has shot down a drone off the coast of Lebanon, with recovery of parts of the drone.
The statement referred to the action as UNIFIL support to the Lebanese Army and to prevent weapons smuggling.

99% certain that Yahye Sinwar was eliminated.

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He was from the planner of Oct 7 and from Hamas’s most extreme faction so when he took power as the head of Hamas in July this year he made the prospect of a ceasefire almost impossible. This may open the door for more moderate voices to progress an end to hostilities.

No guarantees though.

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Yep

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A Gazan reaction to the news:

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As to the hostages, most official reactions of Governments reported in the media view his death as a positive, in that the Hamas position linked release of the hostages to a ceasefire was driven by him, the release should no longer be conditional.
Western reactions range from the celebratory and congratulatory, to the position that his death is not mourned by Governments , that no one should mourn his death, to a perspective that it removes a blockage in diplomatic negotiations aimed at a ceasefire and a pathway to ending the conflict in Gaza.
France continues to claim a direct interest in relation to its own citizens, referencing the 48 French citizens killed on 7 October and that some of the hostages are also French citizens

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He was considered the “Butcher of Khan Younis” for a reason. A psychopath who killed his own in very brutal ways.

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Crisis deepens for Ireland’s scandal-hit Sinn Féin

Irish Leader Mary Lou McDonald Makes Speech To Sinn Fein Ard Fheis 2024

The crisis is raising serious questions about the political survival of Mary Lou McDonald, the Dubliner handpicked by Sinn Féin’s previous leader, Gerry Adams. | Charles McQuillan/Getty Images

Ever since drawing level with Ireland’s governing center-ground parties at the last general election in 2020, Sinn Féin had confidently billed McDonald as the nation’s prime minister in waiting. But that confidence, already shaken by poor results in other elections this summer, has evaporated amid a barrage of self-inflicted wounds.

McDonald spent Tuesday afternoon in Dáil Éireann, Ireland’s key lower house of parliament, mounting a defense of Sinn Féin’s handling of two scandals and a pair of surprise resignations. But her explanations left key questions unanswered and spurred new accusations that she had deliberately misled parliament about how much she knew, and when.

The widening scope of the debate illustrated just how quickly Sinn Féin’s internal problems have multiplied. When the government of Prime Minister Simon Harris sought to use the debate last week as a vehicle for attacking Sinn Féin, only one of the four controversies was out in the open.

There’s so much to unpack.

Reputational damage

Initially, McDonald’s Dublin headquarters sought to confine the reputational damage to Sinn Féin’s operations across the border in Northern Ireland, the party’s traditional U.K. power base, where it already leads a cross-community government under First Minister Michelle O’Neill, Sinn Féin’s deputy leader. It was there that the first scandal surfaced last month, when the party’s former press officer Michael McMonagle pleaded guilty to 14 counts of soliciting sex with children.

McMonagle had spent eight years working in various Sinn Féin roles at Stormont, the seat of Northern Ireland’s devolved government, including within the legislative office of O’Neill in 2020.

Sinn Féin officials had known about the police investigation into McMonagle’s behavior for three years. He was quietly fired — but two party colleagues, including Sinn Fein’s top spin doctor at Stormont, wrote him letters of recommendation to land a new gig at an unwitting charity, the British Heart Foundation.

When journalists started asking questions after McMonagle’s guilty plea and got wind of the recommendations, Sinn Féin pushed both letter writers to resign, denied any knowledge at the top that the party had recommended McMonagle, and accused the British Heart Foundation of failing to conduct due diligence.

O’Neill faced a Stormont grilling over the affair. She apologized to the British Heart Foundation — but struggled to explain how she couldn’t have known about McMonagle’s new job, given she was pictured standing in front of him at a Stormont event last year. O’Neill insisted she never noticed him.

First Minister Michelle O’Neill, Sinn Féin’s deputy leader, faced a Stormont grilling over the Michael McMonagle affair. | Charles McQuillan/Getty Images

Although Sinn Féin is the only party contesting elections in both parts of Ireland, its Dublin and Belfast operations are largely partitioned — and McDonald had hoped, for damage-limitation purposes, to keep it that way.

She stayed silent on McMonagle until the eve of O’Neill’s Stormont questioning, then announced a root-and-branch review of Sinn Féin’s internal structures under a newly appointed general secretary.

“There must always be accountability for wrongdoing,” McDonald vowed. “I am committed to ensuring that an incident like this is never repeated again.”

Losing control of the narrative

That bid to take back control of the narrative didn’t survive the weekend.

In Kildare, a commuter county southwest of Dublin, Sinn Féin lawmaker Patricia Ryan announced she was quitting Sinn Féin and would run against the party as an independent.

She accused backroom party managers of vetting her social media posts, suppressing her constituents’ views on a local encampment of asylum seekers, and trying to block critical questions from the floor when McDonald paid her Kildare constituency a visit. At least 10 local members, including the party chair and secretary, joined Ryan in resigning.

While Sinn Féin was still knocking down Ryan’s accusations, a bigger figure took aim at the party as he too quit in bitterly disputed circumstances.

Brian Stanley was one of Sinn Féin’s most high-profile lawmakers in his role as chair of the most powerful parliamentary committee, Public Accounts, which pursues waste and wrongdoing in state-funded bodies. He accused Sinn Féin chiefs of scheming to ruin his good name in a “kangaroo court” designed to prevent him from standing for re-election.

Hours after Stanley’s resignation Saturday afternoon, Sinn Féin said it had referred evidence of wrongdoing against Stanley to Ireland’s national police force. Since then each side has dared the other to explain, in public, what exactly Stanley has been accused of.

“Brian is obviously in a difficult spot. He is lashing out,” said Pearse Doherty, Sinn Féin’s shadow finance minister. “We have not put the details of the complaint into the public record. It is for Brian to come forward and to be transparent if he so wishes.”

Posing a challenge

McDonald offered vague details in her parliamentary defense of Sinn Féin’s performance, saying a woman had complained of ill treatment by Stanley in October 2023 that had left her feeling “traumatized and distressed.” She insisted that Sinn Féin had nonetheless been right to leave Stanley in charge of the Public Accounts Committee until Monday, when he was sacked as chair.

Since his resignation, Stanley has refused all interview requests, instead issuing a string of statements through a lawyer accusing McDonald of abusing parliamentary privilege to smear him following “days of inaccurate statements and insinuations from Sinn Féin, along with selective briefings delivered with the clear intention of damaging my reputation and to shift the spotlight off the party.”

Niall Ó Donnghaile shut down his social media pages Tuesday after admitting he’d pestered a 17-year-old boy by text after the two went canvassing for Sinn Féin votes. | Charles McQuillan/Getty Images

Stanley, too, has vowed to run against Sinn Féin as an independent in the midlands county of Laois, where the party currently has only one other elected official, sitting on the local council — Stanley’s wife.

The biggest damage to McDonald may have come during Tuesday’s Dáil debate, when the identity of a sex pest texter in Sinn Féin ranks was finally revealed — and it emerged McDonald herself had given the transgressor a salutary sendoff.

Niall Ó Donnghaile, a former mayor of Belfast, was Sinn Féin’s leader in Ireland’s upper house of parliament, the Seanad, until December 2023 — when McDonald issued a press statement praising his work record and wishing the 39-year-old success in battling unspecified “health challenges.”

Sinn Féin has now deleted that statement from its platforms, just as Ó Donnghaile shut down his social media pages Tuesday after admitting he’d pestered a 17-year-old boy by text after the two went canvassing for Sinn Féin votes.

The teenager had complained to Sinn Féin about messages McDonald described as “unwanted and inappropriate.” This was the real reason Ó Donnghaile had resigned, she admitted during the debate.

Defending the indefensible

The Sinn Féin boss defended the decision to stand by him by claiming there were concerns about Ó Donnghaile’s mental health, suggesting he was a suicide risk.

The government and other opposition leaders argued that McDonald shouldn’t have put out a cover story for his political exit. They noted that as with all the other problems, Sinn Féin had only come clean once journalists began investigating or resigning lawmakers cried foul.

Foreign Minister Micheál Martin, leader of the other major party in Ireland’s coalition government, Fianna Fáil, accused McDonald of deliberately misleading parliament — an act that, in government, would merit her resignation.

“The party’s track record of concealment and secrecy is shocking,” he said, listing three earlier cover-ups, including the child rape committed by Gerry Adams’ brother Liam, who died in prison in 2013.

“It is clear Sinn Féin again failed to tell the truth on a very serious matter and seem to have been involved in a very elaborate cover-up,” said Martin, who officially wants the government to run its full five-year term through March but has already had his election posters printed.

The government parties appear in strong position to capitalize on Sinn Féin’s five-year low in opinion polls in the Republic of Ireland.

POLITICO’s Poll of Polls puts Sinn Féin level with Martin’s Fianna Fáil on 19 percent, while Harris’ energized Fine Gael leads on 25 percent. McDonald’s personal approval ratings are slumping and double digits below Harris and Martin, too.

On the campaign trail, Sinn Féin wants to be talking about its key vote-winning issue: the prohibitive cost and scarcity of housing in a country that ranks as among the most expensive places to live in Europe.

But analysts say the party will struggle to pull the focus away from its own internal strife and secrecy — and an impression that it’s not fit to rule.

“This has added fuel to what is going to be a ferociously fought general election,” said Gary Murphy, politics professor at Dublin City University. “The government parties will say: ‘well, you can’t even get your own house in order. How can we expect you to get the government house in order?’”

“If the general election is called soon, which it might well be, Sinn Féin will go into it on the back foot.”

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Following a complaint by the Palestine Belgian Association, the Belgian authorities have initiated an investigation of possible war crimes by a Belgian soldier deployed with the IDF Refaim Sniper Unit in Gaza. The alleged crimes relate to sniper firings on civilians. The investigations will commence with verification of reports from offical and other sources. Belgium claims that the investigations have been commenced in conformity with its international obligations.
Reportedly the Unit also includes US, French, German and Italian dual citizens.

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It’s a pivot, but not as we know it.

New Zealand’s biggest pivot since the 1980s

An interview with Christopher Luxon, the prime minister reshaping its foreign policy

Photograph: AP

Oct 17th 2024|VIENTIANE

On September 25th the Aotearoa, one of just a handful of ships in the Royal New Zealand Navy, sailed through the Taiwan Strait alongside an Australian destroyer. The idea was to demonstrate to China that its claims to sole control of the waterway are invalid under international law. America does it several times a year, despite condemnations from China, sometimes with allies such as Canada. Australia does, too. New Zealand has not made such a bold move since 2017.

In an interview with The Economist, Christopher Luxon, New Zealand’s prime minister, notes that, as a small trading nation, New Zealand depends on freedom of navigation. All countries, he says, including China, need to adhere to international law. He plays down the voyage itself: he argues it was just the quickest way for the ship to sail from the East China Sea to the South China Sea.

But the Aotearoa’s transit underscores a big shift in New Zealand’s foreign policy under Mr Luxon, who took office at the head of a coalition government in November last year. His “reset”, as he calls it, has two elements. The first is a push to diversify New Zealand’s diplomatic and trade relationships away from its reliance on China, which takes 27% of its exports. This is mostly uncontroversial.

The second is to bring New Zealand into closer alignment with the other four countries in the Five Eyes, an agreement between America, Australia, Britain, Canada and New Zealand to share intelligence. As part of that, Mr Luxon is prepared to align New Zealand more closely with America than at any point since the two former allies went their separate ways in 1986. The latter change has provoked one of the most spirited debates in New Zealand on foreign policy since that time.

New Zealand is the only Five Eyes country that is not an American ally. That is unlikely to change, at least on paper. America suspended its defence commitments to New Zealand under the ANZUS alliance in 1986 in response to a ban by New Zealand on nuclear weapons in its ports. Because America’s navy doesn’t disclose which of its ships are carrying nukes, that made an alliance impossible.

In the years that followed, New Zealand’s governments of the left and right staked out a new foreign policy for the country. They forged deeper diplomatic ties with New Zealand’s closest neighbours, the small island countries of the Pacific, and traded more with a rising Asia. But it was only “semi-aligned” with the West, according to Helen Clark, who served as prime minister from 1999 to 2008. It avoided getting involved with the war in Iraq, but sent special forces to help NATO fight the Taliban in Afghanistan.

It also got rich. In 2008 Ms Clark’s government signed a free-trade agreement with China. The pact, which removed 98% of Chinese tariffs on New Zealand’s exports, spared it the worst effects of the global financial crisis. But most of New Zealand’s exports to China are highly substitutable agricultural goods, making it vulnerable to economic coercion.

And as trade with China grew, so did other links between the two, not all of them benign. Under Labour governments from 2017 to 2023, prompted by intelligence-agency warnings, New Zealand cracked down on Chinese attempts to interfere in its politics. It tightened an investment screening process and banned foreign campaign donations.

Although maligned by some critics as the weak link in the Five Eyes, intelligence experts from the other members say that New Zealand’s security services are solid. The agencies are small, but do good work in the Pacific islands and in intercepting adversaries’ internet and satellite communications. There have been no embarrassing counter-intelligence lapses.

Chart: The Economist

It is on defence that New Zealand’s long estrangement from America has prevented it from making more of a contribution to upholding the rules-based order in Asia (see chart). Mr Luxon seems ready to change that. The sailing through the Taiwan Strait, which was followed by multilateral exercises in the South China Sea, is one example. New Zealand has also stepped up its contribution to the multinational task force working to prevent North Korean oil-smuggling. The task force’s work has angered China, even though it is operating under the authority of a UN Security Council resolution, because China fears that it is also snooping on them.

And Mr Luxon has continued some of the Labour government’s earlier, tentative moves in this direction, including a look at joining AUKUS, the defence pact signed in 2021 between Australia, America and Britain. New Zealand wouldn’t take part in efforts to develop nuclear-powered submarines for Australia, but it might join the pact’s second “pillar”, focused on advanced defence technologies.

Critics, like Ms Clark, say that none of this is in New Zealand’s interests. Semi-alignment has served New Zealand well. “It takes longer to fly from Auckland to Beijing than from Beijing to London. We are a long way south and very remote,” she says. But Chinese attempts to sign Pacific island countries up to security agreements over the past three years, and suspicions regarding China’s expanded presence on Antarctica mean that even New Zealand cannot stay out of the way of geopolitics.

If Mr Luxon wants to be more than a bystander, however, he will face real constraints. New Zealand’s defence force is smaller than that of any of America’s allies or partners in Asia. Its army can muster no more than a brigade. Its air force gave up fighter jets decades ago. And its navy is down to eight ships, following an accident which saw a survey vessel sink off the coast of Samoa on October 6th.

The government plans to release a defence-capabilities plan later this month. Mr Luxon will not be drawn on the report’s recommendations before its release. But its choices will reveal much about how far it is willing to go, according to David Capie at Victoria University of Wellington. If naval plans focus on small patrol boats, for example, it would suggest a force concerned with its neighbourhood and tied to New Zealand’s “semi-aligned” foreign policy. If it opts to invest in higher-end capabilities like frigates, however, that would signal a New Zealand ready to do more with Australia and America to uphold the rules-based order.

One seemingly inexhaustible resource is Mr Luxon. Ten months into office, the new prime minister has already visited America, Japan, South Korea and half of the countries of South-East Asia. Each is at least a 12-hour flight from Wellington, the capital. When your correspondent interviewed Mr Luxon, he was in Laos. Asked about his travel schedule, Mr Luxon shrugs. Prior to politics, he spent seven years as CEO of Air New Zealand. ■

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