US politics - is weird (part 6)

Apparently “Chronic Dissatisfaction” is a thing in clinical psychology these days.

Sufferers apparently have a yearning for something better than what they have.

Sounds like US voters and Essendon supporters both have CD.

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Americans don’t trust the govt.

Life was better under trump for most.

Harris didn’t run for president was jettisoned in once Dems thought they would lose as public cottoned on that Biden had lost his marbles.

People have had enough of push back from Govt.

Don’t mind immigration but don’t want different cultures taking over.

Republican propaganda saying immigration is mainly in states where they could win seats.

Trumps heading to Springfield next.

Trump seems to get massive support.

Harris keeps bussing the same people around to her conventions.

trump survived two assination attempts

Most people have already forgotten such is the quick news cycle.

trump has a great slogan
make America Great again.

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and there it is

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Don’t even bother Nexta you’ll just get dribble and brain farts in response. His mental diet is exclusively Russian bot and MAGA sh1te by the fistful.

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Life was better under Trump?
In the USA people died from COVID at per capita rates never seen before.

Death from COVID was more likely under Trump, but people have forgotten that already.

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Wot?

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Trump and his surrogates were always on about dead people voting in 2020.

err, no.
On what basis do you even claim such a thing ?

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Talking about deaths, there are about 20 million people over 65 dying in the USA each year since 2020, so, about 80 million less oldies. I would argue that more of these folk would have voted conservative. But thats not the main issue. Its the cohort of young people now able to vote whats their intention and will they register?

Its a wildcard and we will not know the effect until after the election.

The line is as meaningless as “make America great again”. Life was magically better for those four years only.

Last Week in the Republican Party - September 17, 2024

Fortunately, the Dems have consistently outperformed their polling numbers on all election levels since 2018 or so.

I would argue that this is due to a backlash against Trump combined with a reaction to the repealing of Roe v Wade, more than anything the Dems have done specifically.

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Not too sure about this policy suggestion of taxing unrealised gain.

Buy for $10k
Worth $25k at tax return time
Pay tax on $15k at 25%
Arse drops out of the price
Sell for $5k

I assume that gets factored in.

image

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To be fair: under Trump, most people in fact did not die.

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And yet with the advantages of the college, rampant gerrymandering and voter suppression, stacking of the courts, incumbency, etc etc, the ‘most’ booted his rotten arse out.

That assertion is therefore doubtful, if not plain bullpuckey

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Trump’s Heist: The President Who Wouldn’t Lose …
A documentary on C4 just released in the UK as a two part TV series and as Stopping the Steal in the U.S (I think). It’s s a timely reminder of that utter chilling chaos back in 2020 and the events leading up to Jan 6th 2021.

What might happen IF Trump actually wins in November is as scary as what might happen IF he loses once again. And the narrower the margin the more likelihood of a rerun of sorts I fear. Maybe the good U.S electoral folk will carry out the core tenant of democracy but with more protection this time. Just dunno.

But catch it if you can.

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Kicks in at 100M though. Your 25k is safe.

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Something that hasn’t been touched on much here- the Fed reduced the cash rate by 50 basis points yesterday. Largest drop since before covid. This has some pretty significant effects for the US, as well as Canada. Both the Fed and the BOC have- in the past few weeks- gone lockstep in the message that inflation is down, and its time to bring rates back towards “neutral” territory,
( which is somewhere between 2-3% for the cash rate). As the Fed has finally taken the plunge- and done so with language that is suggesting more to come- it also enables Canada to continue dropping rates. They have to maintain a relative parity with the US to keep cross border trade healthy-without having to see the CAD devalued.
Where this is interesting is both countries are in election cycles, and these rate drops are not the norm. Canada is due to go to the polls by next Oct- but will most likely go early- and of course the US is a month and a bit out. On a subset, BC ( the province I live in) is going to the polls in 3 weeks. The relevance is that these rate drops have given the incumbents a shot in the arm. All 3 elections involve either “traditionally” left/center-left incumbents, vs more conservative opponents who tend to campaign on being better custodians of the economy. But these cuts undermine that narrative a tad.
It will be interesting to see how, for instance, Trump- who consistently pushed for rate drops when he was in power- reacts and tries to spin this large pivot in financial direction by the Fed.
As it will Pierre Poilivere in the Great White North who is in the same boat with Trudeau…

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