Democratic nominee for the South Dakota senate race has dropped out (was never going to win), which gives the independent Brian Bengs a good chance against the sitting GOP senator Mike Rounds. There’s only a couple of points difference in latest polling.
2 Likes
Interesting observation from Jon, considering his podcasts’ reluctance to talk about the issue.
3 Likes
4 Likes
2 Likes
El-Sayed’s lead only at about 3% right now. Stevens is overperforming in rural districts (probably MAGAs - Michigan has open primaries).
Still optimistic but far from a sure thing.
2 Likes
Stevens has more chance in the general I would think. So not a bad result if she gets up.
As long as she has strong ties to AIPAC I wouldn’t necessarily count on that, especially in Michigan.
2 Likes
The democrats should just play that over and over.
4 Likes
Watch anything about Michigan and many Michigan Dems voter are concerned if he can beat Mike Rogers. They have their eye on November not August.
Here is an example.
El-Sayed’s lead is growing again back to 3.4% with 71% counted.
It’s down to 2.2% with 80% counted.
Politico:
As results continue to come in in Michigan’s hotly contested Senate race, there are clear divides emerging based on class.
Former public health official Abdul El-Sayed is performing best in the state’s wealthiest and most highly educated areas — while Rep. Haley Stevens is doing better in places with lower average incomes and where fewer voters have college degrees.
Among the nearly two dozen counties where at least 95 percent of expected ballots are in, El-Sayed is winning 58.4 percent of the vote in counties where at least 30 percent of adults have a bachelor’s degree, according to a POLITICO analysis of county-level results. On the flip side, Stevens is winning 51.4 percent of the vote in counties where less than 30 percent share of adults are college-educated. El-Sayed is similarly leading Stevens in counties with higher median incomes so far, while Stevens leads in lower-income counties.
The early results reflect a trend seen elsewhere this year as Democrats debate how to win back working-class voters: At least in primaries, progressive politicians have performed best among wealthier and highly educated voters, while moderate Democrats still perform better in lower-income and less educated areas.
An exception in Michigan is Oakland County, among the most highly educated in the state, which is split roughly evenly between El-Sayed and Stevens with a bit over 90 percent of the county vote in. Most of the county is in Stevens’ current congressional district.
2 Likes
Polls had AES 10-15 points up. This was much, much closer than predicted.
Regardless, it’s cathartic to watch AIPAC and corporate Dems light $70m on fire
5 Likes
“Tomorrow, tomorrow, for Mallory McMorrow, it’s always a day away!”
3 Likes
Playing perfectly into Trumps hands.
Spent a lot of money and got a ‘communist’.
We’re thru the looking glass here, people…
3 Likes
AIPAC are perfectly fine with Trump, and corporate Dems prefer him to progressives.
3 Likes