When you have close family members in the country of first citizenship it’s important to be a dual citizen.
As a dual citizen you aren’t dependent on a tourist visa to be with them, particularly in circumstances of illness in the family when you may need to spend time with the family and help out.
Also in terms of a career the capacity to work in both countries delivers a lot.
I’d be happy for it to be scrapped and plenty of countries around the world don’t allow it and operate just fine.
We have even looked into places to retire and one thing for us to consider is that we may have to give up Australian citizenship
1 Like
this is how he gets to sleep
Access to health care and costs would be a consideration.
The polls are using preference flows from the 2022 election where LNP got 60% of PHON and Palmer. In 2022, PHON did not preference the LNP but they did in 2019. But in this election PHON is preferencing the LNP and if the LNP gets 80% of PHON and Palmer preferences as the LNP beieves it will, then the Newspoll TPP becmes 50/50. PHON is also expexted to get higher vote % in the marginal seats than the national polls suggest
No they aren’t. The polls are using respondent defined preference flows.
1 Like
They are using 2022 preferences based
In what i waa told last night
Equally, polls are not infallible. TPP estimates could be very wrong.
But to say it’s for this “obvious factor which hasn’t been considered at all” is just not true.
1 Like
I thought election ads were banned for the couple of days before the election.
But we just got bombarded with a scurrilous attack ad against the sitting Teal MP for Curtin. It was all attack and no “vote for our bloke”. The Libs must be desperate.
How can the Libs get away with this contravention of election ad blackout? The ad was on SBS online. So I suppose there must be a loophole that advertising on streaming is not covered the same way as FTA.
Anyway, the Libs must be desperate and I hope their POS candidate gets rejected.
Are they using 60% or 80% preference flows from PHON and Palmer in those polls? I was told they are usung 60% but LNP expecting 80%.
I thought major political party ads were banned but that doesn’t stop groups like Get Up or Advance that are not registered political parties. I could be wrong.
If it is respondent, the preference flows aren’t fixed - they are determined based upon how individuals respond.
Kevin Bonham suggests modified flow will be something like 72% PHON to LNP (guided by QLD state election and Fadden by-election) in Newspoll.
1 Like
But you then need to go back to previous elections to work out if people actually tell the truth when they describe their preference flows.
Hence polls not being infallible.
Also hence why I think the result will be a hung parliament and I’m really not sure who will be best positioned to form Government.
As I previously linked to in this thread, streaming is not deemed to be “broadcasting”.
2 Likes
Thanks for that. I’m out of the loop atm and your source seems better than mine.
1 Like
No worries.
It’s going to be a fascinating election.
My guess is Labor easily. Most likely minority but majority still a real chance. I told everyone months ago to get some buck$ on Labor when they were $2.40. But I’m also a bit out of the loop on the election so you could be right.
Not sure how you define fascinating ! This is my 21st Federal Election and none have been fascinating. All I know is the Voter get the Government they deserve,