Labor won government in 2014 with 47 of 88 seats, 2 going to Greens.
Bayswater is a real possibility.
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WâŚTâŚF
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Reason I think Hawthorn will go to the Libs, is you have the unusual situation of a sitting Labor MP who won by fluke, and is recontesting.
I think Labor gets into 2nd place, with the Indie 3rd, meaning split preferences from the Indie pushing the Libs past 50%+1 to win the seat.
Kennedy isnât trying too hard here in Hawthorn. Iâd be astonished if he gets more in the primary than Lowe. Sheâs got a very strong presence.
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And every chance the Libs lose Kew to Torney.
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Ok so labor needs to win more than 44 to win majority governmentâŚâŚIâd say itâll be Labor 43 -47 seats âŚ.a number of outer suburban safer labor seats to become marginal after Saturday. If they get to 43 Iâd be ok with a minority government. Dan to handover leadership to someone else in 2 years time âŚâŚDan retires works for Linfox and joins Essendon Board
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So true - I havenât spotted one sign for him driving around that area. Lots of Lib/teal signs
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I think a lot of Labor votes learned about voting tactically to oust the Libs, so may well go Indie rather than ALP.
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Missed Kevin07 at Northcote Central, campaigning with Kat.
Greens are a sneaky chance for sure
As usual the libs recruit some mouthbreating 18 year old kid to hand out cards that doesnât really give a â â â â and canât articulate the policies.
Ha, yep. Who are those poor high school kids? Do the Libs pay better than Maccas?
And I had to show my disgust to the smarmy, aggressive Freedom Party woman who imagined I might be interested in voting hard right.
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Just ask her âdo I look like a â â â â â â â Nazi?â and hope she doesnât say yes. I have a crew cut so might let that one pass.
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âCrew cutâ ? Come on, old fella, no one has a âcrew cutâ these days. Itâs a No.1.
totally normal behaviour right here
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Itâs a never ending series of pretty average to horrible behaviour from these people.
I know people say âboth sides are the sameâ but it is consistently right wing political parties and their affiliates that get found out for this â â â â . The fact he had a fake website, multiple aliasâ, and was targeting a business makes me wonder if they canât press charges.
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FMD
My Labor mate getting $60 an hour to drive around with Labor signs on his car
New polling to be released in the H-Sun tomorrow from Kosâ Redbridge Group going to show late surge to LNP 38%, ALP 35% Primary votes. Late voters splitting 2-1 in favour of LNP. âMinority Labor Government 41-43 seats the most âlikelyâ resultâ
Weâve got Kos on one side saying his polling is pointing a Minority Government and then a Morgan poll a few days earlier with a ALP rout
Somebody gonna look like a goose
Final Newspoll out later tonight also