The Magpies are the kings of fast starts, but it is what happens next that would leave coach Nathan Buckley very worried. Here are the shocking stats that show the Pies are freezing up — and it could cost them a flag.
Sam Landsberger
Fremantle coach Justin Longmuir described Collingwood as “impenetrable” last month.
The Magpies were yet to concede 40 points in a game and Fremantle’s new coach knew their defence better than most, having served as Collingwood backline coach for the past two years.
“They’ve got a really mature back six that have played a lot of footy together,” Longmuir said.
The Magpies have since lost intercepting weapon Jeremy Howe (knee) and let through the biggest score of 2020 on Sunday, when West Coast piled on 18.3 (111).
But they are still the AFL’s No.1 stopper and, despite playing one extra game, have leaked fewer points than Melbourne and Essendon.
For the most part they are as tight as piano wire. Structurally they set up so well that opposition entries are usually slow, predictable and without a threatening patch of open space on offer.
The key words being “for the most part”, because an alarming trend has emerged where Collingwood falls asleep at the wheel.
FAST STARTS HIT THE WALL
Quarter 1
Average 24.1 points (No.1 in AFL), 268.1% (No.1)
Quarter 2-4
Average 35.4 points (No.17), 84% (No.16)
Source: CHAMPION DATA
In Round 1 the Western Bulldogs pinged through three goals late in the second quarter to cut the margin from 48 points to 30.
It was enough for Dogs coach Luke Beveridge to tell his players at the last two breaks that they had a pulse.
No damage was done, but it foreshadowed what was to come.
In Round 2 the Magpies conceded four-straight majors against Richmond in a game that finished as a five-goal apiece draw.
In Round 4 it was the Giants’ run of three majors after scores were level at halftime that probably decided the match.
In Round 5 Essendon converted a three-goal deficit into a five-goal buffer it never relinquished.
On Sunday the Eagles went on two game-changing blitzes.
A four-goal burst to get back in the game and then a 13-goal charge that finished in the record books as the most consecutive goals the Magpies have conceded since Champion Data started in 1999.
MAGPIE LAPSES
Consecutive goals conceded
Rd 8, 2020 v West Coast 13 - most Pies have conceded since Champion Data’s inception in 1999
Rd 8, 2020 v West Coast 4
Rd 5, 2020 v Essendon 8
Rd 4, 2020 v GWS Giants 3
Rd 2, 2020 v Richmond 4
Rd 1, 2020 v Western Bulldogs 3
PF, 2019 v GWS Giants 7
It would be no surprise if Longmuir writes “Magpie lapses” on the whiteboard this week because at some stage, most likely after quarter-time, they will give Fremantle a look.
There is no team that starts faster and then slams on the brakes as quickly as Collingwood, with a disproportionate 40.5 per cent of its scores coming in the first quarter.
Ironically, it’s not the defence to blame for the lapses. Essendon champion goalkicker Matthew Lloyd put it on the misfiring forwards.
“Your defence can only stand up for so long. You’ve got to put scoreboard pressure on,” Lloyd said.
Collingwood games average just 110.6 points, which is the fewest in the AFL and just below Fremantle’s 111.8 points.
It magnifies the importance of those lapses.
Port Adelaide and St Kilda have conceded runs of three or more goals five teams this year, only one less than Collingwood, but they are playing in games producing close to an extra two and four goals respectively.
The damage for those teams is diluted, whereas in Collingwood’s dour strangleholds landing a knockout blow is rarely far away.