The Inevitable Rebuild

To be fair we’ve still got the 2nd strongest hand. 5 picks in the top 30 plus the handy-looking Sweid. It’s not nothing.

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What’s wrong with our draft hand this year?

Someone will complain that it’s not a real rebuild thread if it’s elusive. Rebuild threads need to be clear Blitz wide decisions and any ambiguity is a reflection the board really hasn’t taken their medicine.

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Well currently we don’t have the spots so a very chance we don’t use all our picks for players. I was really hoping for 5 or 6 players taken this draft but maybe we only end up with 3 or 4

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No use having good picks if there are insufficient list spaces available.

Essendon need to grow a pair and move on quite a few list cloggers instead of being a near permanent home for the under performing!

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Correct

I’d hope that Rosa has the stomach to do it and I’d hope that others don’t interfere

I remember writing this LOL. It really is rinse and repeat.

Most of the posts I wrote in 2018 & 2019 could have been written yesterday.

It honestly baffles me that most people want to continue doing the same thing we’ve done for 20 years.

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We’re not doing the same thing, because this time we’re doing it with Swagger!

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We’ve been through the following Era’s

2007 - End of an Era

2008 - 2010 - The Rebuild Era

2011 - The Great Hope Era

2012 - 2016 - The Saga Era

2016 - 2020 - The Learnings Era

2020-2022 - The Blue Colar Era

2023 - 2024 - The Standards Era

2025 - The Stability Era

2026 - We now enter the Swagger Era

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Are you selling this as a T-shirt?

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What would you pay?

Ppl might think 1 or 2 extra draft picks might not matter, but we need to have as many throws at the stumps as possible to unearth young talent. We picked up Johnson with the last pick of the draft last year, got roberts at 50 odd the year before.

Even if we take 5 and delist setters, it means we can’t trial anyone as an SSP or participate in the rookie draft (i think). Thats a list management failure imo

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20 bucks.

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I was referring to the draft hands he’ll have/had from 2024 to 2028. Which currently looks like he won’t have much to work with.

  • Last year we got Kako for free, so the first live pick Rosa had to work with was at #37.
  • This year we finished 4th last yet our first pick will probably be #8. Yes, we have an extra top 20 pick. Which is deferred from last year, a stronger draft. We have some picks that will become 25+ in a weaker draft.
  • 2026: Given EFC’s seeming position on rebuilding it is likely we’ll have just our minimum picks, likely mid table.
  • 2027: If Bewick keeps as a top candidate every chance we take him and late picks only in 2027.
  • 2028 is likely to be compromised by Tassie as well.
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Kako and Bewick enhance our draft hand - we get to draft elite talent. I don’t understand why he needs to be “the most amazing drafter” in this situation?

Our second pick this year immediately follows our pick - yes within top 20 but sells it short. Plus we also have the Draper compo.

If we struggle in 2026 we’ll also have another top 10 pick.

Makes one think - the level of incompetency of not being able to capitalise on such high rates of success (54% & 29%) - no wonder we are where we are….an inadequate club who are living in their past and riddled with politics.

2016: Pick 1*- Andrew McGrath*

2017: Pick 11 - Traded for Devon Smith

2018: Pick 9 - Traded for Dylan Shiel

2019: Pick 14 - Traded for Dylan Shiel

2020: Pick 8 - Nik Cox / Pick 9- Archie Perkins / Pick 10- Zach Reid

2021: Pick 13 - Ben Hobbs

2022: Pick 5 - Elijah Tsatas

Unless we come out of that mindset and structure - we will always remain stagnant

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But but but but there’s no ‘guarantees’

The combination of incompetency in drafting and continually having picks between 6-15….. puts us deadset in mediocre territory.

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So McGrath, + 3 picks in the COVID draft between 6 and 10, 1 of which appears to be all Aus level if our team is even half decent, Hobbs and then Tsatas who is still in the infancy of his career.

If one of Tsatas or McGrath makes All Aus even once then we’re going at the historical statistical rate pretty much. (~50% top 5, 23-29% 6-15) We just traded out of 3 other shots at it because “topping up”.

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