Well, I said 12 were up for review. I also then said if we cut 6 we would still be using 4 late picks. I agree if we're in the slot the chances of delisting 12 are low. They're probably low full stop, that would be a huge turn-over.
Don't reckon we would be close to cutting 12 players if our performance had us in the Premiership window. I do get your point on the post and I think it is a great post.
I agree that there are a heap of players who will need to have decisions made on them next year - Dalgiesh, Kav, NOB, Jerrett, Browne, Hams, Aylett, Steinberg, Ashby, Gleeson (if he went backwards in 2015) plus the older possibilities in Fletch, Winders, Gwilt and Chapman. That's twelve senior list and two rookie list players that would need to show a certain level to justify 2016 contracts.It'll be very interesting to see how our list management strategy changes next year once we have proper draft picks again. How much has our recent emphasis on free agency and picking up recycleds been mandated by our lack of alternatives? Given we've been pretty conservative with delistings over the last couple of years (so much that there could easily be 6-8 main list changes coming up at the end of next season), will we look to draft deep into the late rounds or will we bring in more recycleds? How will that affect the gametime/development of our young blokes? And given that quality free agents are generally towards the end of their careers, how will that affect our age profile? Can a club under the current rules sustain a high-quality list through continual topping up? If a club tries, what will the strategy do to its age profile and ability to attract/develop young talent? t's all very much up in the air, given how new the rules are.
No secret I'm generally more in favour of drafting rather than poaching/recycling to build a list, though there is of course a place for both and a large part of my preference is based less on actual rational analysis and more on the fact that I hate cheering for players I despised at their old team!
The thing is, even after the sanctions expire we still only have one 1st and one 2nd round picks to use (well, as long as nobody does a Ryder). If 6-8 of those above needed to go/retired, then even "without sanctions" that is still 4+ late picks for the senior list. So I think the club will still look closely at the free agents and discards, especially if our performance has us in the premiership window.
I think the success of Hawthorn and Sydney in using traded, recycled and FA players will also influence ours and others thinking for a while. Both have shown that you can keep a team at the top of the ladder a long while utilising these approaches. If EFC could go back and change things so the sanctions didn't exist, I don't think that would be at the cost of Cooney and Chapman. I think it would be at the cost of a NOB, Aylett, maybe Edwards. And I think the lsit would be stronger with both the young talent and older talent there.
a lot depends on rookies too.
hypothetically for example say winders, fletcher retire
Chappy, Gwilt plays on, jerrett, gleeson, Ashby, Dalgleish all play well and get a new contract and we delist
NOB, Steinberg, Pears, Browne, Hams, Aylett, & Trade Kav to the Crows
7 main list changes & 2 rookies .....we might then upgrade Mckenna, Long,McKernan,
then having 4 picks in the national draft. & 4 rookies.
or 3 national draft picks if we get dangerfield as a free agent.